Mls · resolved market
Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b7603ad0356ab388cdbfd2c77a4763ee927eb34108693036accab5a63b2aa96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 914.47$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.24 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 819.82$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.86 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 15c | 786.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 13c | 756.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 31c | 549.58$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 516.83$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.54 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 13c | 475.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 451.75$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Over | 53c | 339.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 14c | 307.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…0490backed Over | 76c | 289.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 263.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 43c | 246.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 15c | 241.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…7cebbacked Over | 52c | 222.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 13c | 216.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Over | 46c | 201.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 43c | 195.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 23c | 190.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 46c | 176.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 61c | 166.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 162.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 24c | 159.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 58c | 125.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…eafabacked Under | 40c | 120.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 55c | 118.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…42a7backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456e…968bbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 58c | 73.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 54c | 71.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a4aabacked Over | 77c | 62.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 59.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Over | 46c | 52.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Over | 77c | 51.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 61c | 51.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Under | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 54c | 43.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Under | 48c | 23.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 68c | 21.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 73c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…64f0backed Over | 75c | 13.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.