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Mls · resolved market

Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c12,097$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,783.9827837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c5,985$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.781,00240.2%403 W · 599 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.0526445.5%120 W · 144 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under53c2,619$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.4753346.7%249 W · 284 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c1,640$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.583,01843.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L-28.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c1,381$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.721547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over20c1,332$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.458043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55212263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over48c1,088$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.172133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c1,034$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.041,88836.5%690 W · 1,198 L-7.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over40c889.42$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.618540%34 W · 51 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under55c884.55$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.053046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over47c717.97$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.451553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over46c625.12$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.3610562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over47c543.77$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.292951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+74.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under51c476.38$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.67037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over46c458.42$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.871650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c435.13$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8613053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over48c406.89$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.711566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c392.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.281,30651.2%669 W · 637 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over46c307.32$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3717258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under53c304.29$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.015050%25 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over35c299.71$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.313545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under69c294.46$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6224046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.268750.7%348 W · 339 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291753.1%487 W · 430 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over47c206.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8210250%51 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9216960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over30c199.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8913844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c198.94$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4973150.8%371 W · 360 L-3.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over46c180$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.815060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under53c174.54$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.119245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over49c173.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4720554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under51c166.66$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6610755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c164.22$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7670549.8%351 W · 354 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.612162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.611759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over46c152.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over50c142.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7639567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c137.74$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3268250.7%346 W · 336 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under69c130.92$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2644650.7%226 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce0f…5c9ebacked Over47c129.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c121.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0582044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over48c90.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.328739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over49c89.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7529460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over49c81.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8531158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over47c78.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.032263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over30c77.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5320849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under79c75.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.06977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over47c72.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8916744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over31c70.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1597256.5%549 W · 423 L+71.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over23c70.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1916853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over46c69.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.26065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over35c68.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.436051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under52c61.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.171376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.616955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.613461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d40…7b78backed Under54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.851442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over48c50.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.045354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.247955.7%44 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under68c44.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9730957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.815259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffd…fa8ebacked Under53c36.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8736…dfaebacked Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5716656.6%94 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under54c35.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2110957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Under53c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.512454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under53c31.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Over47c30.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.113557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.820154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd7…d1ecbacked Over57c29.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0664…f7f0backed Under51c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Under53c28.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under53c26.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.663542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under51c24.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.186958%40 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over57c24.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8819052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under54c23.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under68c23.42$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.587354.6%477 W · 396 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Under53c23.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.931442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under56c19.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.576264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.