Mls · resolved market
Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81bb9b88f8d41c5d420555be7b240e5b4751324f9d7631277dbb7e0d41013cf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 19,293$6,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,104.13 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 32c | 7,536$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,103.03 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 54c | 2,267$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.55 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 45c | 2,006$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.18 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,270$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.9 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 67c | 1,015$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.71 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 69c | 969.72$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 946.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.19 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 848.53$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.64 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 831.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.41 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 763.21$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.59 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 69c | 706.89$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.76 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 33c | 581.67$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.72 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 20c | 323.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 31c | 291.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.1 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 69c | 287.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.18 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…eafabacked No | 60c | 198.8$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 68c | 196.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 68c | 187.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 41c | 163.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 153.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…68dfbacked Yes | 69c | 147.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 68c | 146.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…c8ffbacked Yes | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Yes | 68c | 143.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 31c | 140.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 68c | 105.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 59c | 103.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…7e96backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Yes | 69c | 83.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…6a68backed Yes | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 32c | 64.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Yes | 68c | 62.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 55.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 33c | 45.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 64c | 44.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 32c | 43.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 51c | 35.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 59c | 32.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x996e…fe9fbacked Yes | 68c | 28.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b38…698dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Yes | 70c | 26.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked No | 56c | 21.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 68c | 21.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Yes | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 68c | 17.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.