TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over37c964.71$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.3358043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under50c866.89$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.441662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over61c834$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.746662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c758.07$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.0378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over14c620.24$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.715326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under34c604.14$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8610848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2912759.3%16 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick34cpaid+61.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c508.14$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.783,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over47c499.97$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9813844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…42a7backed Over45c497.14$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc329…0b75backed Over70c439.22$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Over62c409$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.583040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over65c399.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c378.24$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0924046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c366$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd628…a698backed Under68c359.67$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under9c356.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.32646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+512.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over68c330.02$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over32c323.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over54c287.16$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.62951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+74.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3b1…315abacked Under34c276.12$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Under37c262.24$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.742842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c258.68$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.673318.2%6 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under49c251.27$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.155448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under31c228.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2321547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under48c199.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.014445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x456e…968bbacked Over30c197.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over24c193.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2387154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over66c176.03$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1847748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under46c170.8$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.959052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.42975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under35c154.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25050%25 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7c83backed Under34c152.73$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked Under38c152$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.241154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over70c149.15$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.088739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over53c145.66$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8811244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under65c138.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2922263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under78c117.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5930444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under31c114.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under62c110.64$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7420849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc455…1532backed Over66c104.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2248344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under50c98.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4710957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x267d…3852backed Over67c97.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under53c83.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.124859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over67c80.23$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over74c79.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.73243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under61c70.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3136051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1b…09aebacked Over68c69.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.08650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under38c67.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.665759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over61c67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8710249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.371266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c61.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.970249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72c…ec8ebacked Over67c58.94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5281…bdd8backed Over68c58.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.02540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under31c55.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.052352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda4…b658backed Under70c55.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over58c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.241656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…5891backed Over67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under31c47.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over33c43.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.425641.1%23 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over68c43.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.423036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-38%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over50c42.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c41.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.839234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under33c40.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.991,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under50c39.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.682050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe80e…6178backed Over57c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under32c32.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.519245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over65c29.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.466563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over65c29.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4615676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd0a5…7f75backed Over67c29.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.871464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over68c29.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.01650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ec…df67backed Over68c28.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under36c27.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9216531.5%52 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over68c27.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.531376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under54c26.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3213046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c26.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1882044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under79c25.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.287045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under42c24.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1419645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over67c23.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.846357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59a1…8263backed Under70c21.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.462343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under49c20.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6130957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over71c18.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4615638.5%60 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over71c17.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2631158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.