MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x979ce54bcab3037432a9aa5581d0c68ef23aea7a28794dbf063a16111005d6de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $879,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $907,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $879,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 199,878$96,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,938.02 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 57,258$29,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,774.38 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 51,625$26,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,334.19 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 48,560$25,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,251.2 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 27,295$7,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,444.55 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 27,129$18,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,611.04 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 23,787$6,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,364.61 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 23,025$15,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,086.86 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 20,778$10,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,596.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 14,259$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.63 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…b363backed Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 14,101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 14,058$7,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,169.33 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 12,729$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.03 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 12,626$6,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,613.48 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 12,067$5,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,154.23 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 11,005$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.92 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.98 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 10,250$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.74 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 8,793$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,595.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 8,486$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.4 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 8,385$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.03 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 7,922$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 7,714$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.66 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 7,698$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.39 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 7,088$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.14 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 6,687$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.17 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 6,594$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.13 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 6,365$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.04 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 6,196$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 6,055$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.6 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 5,516$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.52 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 5,438$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.8 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 5,280$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.83 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 4,917$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.27 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 4,448$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.86 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 4,033$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.82 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 4,025$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.65 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 3,735$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.98 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 3,709$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.54 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 3,662$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,504$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.12 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 3,336$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 3,267$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 3,176$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,904$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.9 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,800$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 2,768$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.91 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 2,766$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.3 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,736$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.3 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 2,645$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.59 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,569$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,521$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.11 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,437$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.14 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,408$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.31 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 2,394$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.33 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 2,337$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.51 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,271$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.21 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 2,226$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.94 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 2,126$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.99 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 2,052$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.69 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 2,024$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.27 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,015$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 2,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…44bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 1,961$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,957$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,916$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.19 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 1,853$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.88 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 1,806$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.45 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…7911backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 1,792$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,736$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.98 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,721$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.22 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 1,674$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.9 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…43ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,673$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,616$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.03 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 1,607$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.52 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,570$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.46 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,565$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.32 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,543$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.45 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,533$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,490$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.93 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,390$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.25 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 1,375$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,262$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.52 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…da6bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 1,167$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…d66fbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,117$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,077$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,041$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.88 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 1,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.98 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 995.57$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.53 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 967.6$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 962.88$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.81 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 940.99$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.36 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 930.13$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.85 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 916.07$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.14 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.