MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cc9fe26dcc871b073a15b5e4873b3f381fa77031bf0da8c01a7d80d72fc0203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Under | 53c | 102,759$54,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,799.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 52c | 90,934$47,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,285.76 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 47c | 51,855$24,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,383.32 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 32,228$15,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,758.79 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 28,438$13,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,356.63 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 23,411$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,461.18 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 18,017$8,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,368.72 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 13,793$7,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.77 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 12,302$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396.99 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.81 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 47c | 8,314$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.09 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 53c | 7,128$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.64 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33e…c0d6backed Over | 48c | 6,310$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under | 52c | 6,228$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 48c | 6,079$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.29 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 48c | 5,110$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.32 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 4,355$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.76 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 3,652$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 50c | 2,896$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.87 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 2,330$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 47c | 1,835$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.05 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 1,498$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.15 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 1,447$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.09 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.58 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 1,028$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.47 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Under | 53c | 983.47$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.24 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Under | 53c | 908.98$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 809.13$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.66 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 53c | 793.06$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.17 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 627.38$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 589.7$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 6c | 555.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 548.77$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.03 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 55c | 496.23$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.35 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 490.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.55 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 435.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.44 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 386$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.72 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 43c | 369.15$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.51 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 330.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 303.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…a54bbacked Under | 60c | 284.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Under | 36c | 267.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 48c | 257.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 63c | 240.48$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 53c | 235.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Over | 58c | 218.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 55c | 212.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 48c | 211.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Over | 48c | 202.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 48c | 202.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 48c | 184.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 55c | 177.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 176$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9956…44e0backed Under | 58c | 168.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 159.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 52c | 159.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 48c | 154.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 152.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…a1e0backed Under | 53c | 147.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…c3a3backed Over | 48c | 139.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Under | 53c | 134.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…8e8fbacked Under | 51c | 134.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 55c | 133.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 52c | 130.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 122.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 52c | 109.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 31c | 105.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 32c | 103.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 102.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 58c | 91.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Under | 53c | 91.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 65c | 87.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 40c | 87.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 624 | 54.2%338 W · 286 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 52c | 85.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 58c | 79.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Under | 52c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 26c | 73.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed Under | 53c | 71.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 68c | 71.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 53c | 70.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 36c | 64.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 48c | 55.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.