Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5db847b82ec0659c19ee3f800c57c99c3c7b9cdc0ccdb28227e0fd3db27ceeb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 39c | 1,696$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.31 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 1,363$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 596.71$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…1376backed Over | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Over | 40c | 493.25$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Under | 64c | 448.33$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 419.37$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 31c | 399.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 355.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 332.32$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 68c | 329.04$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 67c | 316.18$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.48 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 65c | 311.75$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 67c | 290.77$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 66c | 255.4$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 64c | 255.39$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 46c | 212.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…718dbacked Over | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 36c | 173.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 32c | 156.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 68c | 144.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Over | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 68c | 143.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Over | 69c | 143.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 44c | 96.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 93.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 34c | 91.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 34c | 91.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 83.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 37c | 77.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 36c | 67.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 58.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 48.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca4…c4a5backed Over | 33c | 46.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 67c | 37.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…742ebacked Over | 64c | 22.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…90d9backed Over | 66c | 19.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…0748backed Over | 67c | 16.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.