Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17040e85f550d82f40079e17ad02efec6fae16d3798e8c93fb73190f595dd311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 32c | 9,555$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.6 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 7,205$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.83 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 3,336$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 44c | 635.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.82 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 8c | 483.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Over | 33c | 436.26$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 392$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 65c | 363.38$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 56c | 332.61$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 329.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 29c | 299$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 33c | 164.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 17c | 159.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 68c | 158.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 41c | 155$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 140.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 63c | 128.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 112.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 39c | 101.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 99.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 40c | 97.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 19c | 74.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 72c | 72.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 70.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 70.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…46ccbacked Over | 40c | 66.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…5652backed Over | 40c | 66.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 40c | 59.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 56.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 54.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Over | 33c | 47.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 61c | 31.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 26.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 56c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 18.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.