Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8432d22bb5bf35df9e139a0659683a7c4874c3b5a1336e9684ac270d6b266825
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alanyasporof Kasımpaşa SK, Alanyaspor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2f3…2901backed Kasımpaşa SK | 4c | 940$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…4e96backed Kasımpaşa SK | 4c | 879$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…1204backed Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 830$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…e197backed Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 830$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…8322backed Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 825$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…b364backed Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 820$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…d65ebacked Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 820$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8689…c150backed Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 815$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…807ebacked Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 815$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bb…4658backed Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 810$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…2728backed Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 805$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…af91backed Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…3bbcbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…6114backed Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 780$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5)this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.