Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bf028a4c4294fe68a66b6321536383b97d88a124967a2a1931b01e805856116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 70c | 3,707$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.64 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 72c | 2,894$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.19 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 44c | 2,288$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.43 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 51c | 1,692$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.95 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 43c | 1,364$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.75 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 36c | 1,182$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.51 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 16c | 1,002$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.34 | 385 | 15.6%60 W · 325 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 40c | 976.6$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 25c | 970.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.96 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 37c | 853.29$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 65c | 843.86$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.43 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 51c | 673.98$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.11 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 24c | 601.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 64c | 559.39$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 25c | 559.06$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.71 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 7c | 553.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.07 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…7f2bbacked Yes | 65c | 429.13$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 10c | 399.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.94 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 54c | 332.25$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 324.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 321.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…6922backed No | 30c | 307.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 80c | 305.95$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 32c | 296.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.77 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 34c | 293.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 276$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 43c | 272.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.79 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 42c | 267.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.73 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 60c | 208.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 76c | 208.24$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 204$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 69c | 201.25$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 54c | 198.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked Yes | 49c | 197.53$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 77c | 197.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 22c | 186.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 50c | 185.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 79c | 177.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 175$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 31c | 157.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…2f7fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 56c | 152.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 35c | 133.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 41c | 133.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 39c | 130.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked No | 31c | 130.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes | 74c | 128.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 126.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 39c | 125.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 57c | 123.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 38c | 120.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 45c | 119.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 25c | 116.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3b…0b8fbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 51c | 96.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked No | 66c | 87.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 38c | 82.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…f6c5backed Yes | 67c | 82.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 67c | 74.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 51c | 71.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae42…9235backed Yes | 68c | 70.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 26c | 69.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 30c | 67.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 61c | 66.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 74c | 61.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 33c | 60.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cd…368ebacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 47c | 58.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 64c | 55.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed Yes | 37c | 54.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 32c | 51.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 67c | 51.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 72c | 51.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…17e5backed Yes | 60c | 51.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 50.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 38c | 46.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 47c | 46.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…172ebacked Yes | 70c | 43.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked No | 70c | 41.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 51c | 41.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2087backed Yes | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 31c | 39.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 62c | 39.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 79c | 38.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 70c | 36.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…cfd4backed No | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…1beabacked Yes | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…75b5backed Yes | 67c | 31.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 41c | 27.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.