Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8030aae7e786228f3e94c111eb8909ad49ca4d3d287e4d73212c139993807e00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 45c | 4,198$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.6 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 30c | 1,406$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.01 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 31c | 1,218$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 31c | 833.75$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.39 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 779$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 36c | 612.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.61 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 562.64$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.39 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 48c | 535.85$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.7 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 28c | 421$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 414.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 47c | 401.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 42c | 369.01$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 353.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 70c | 333.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 327.29$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 63c | 316$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 31c | 299.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 290.05$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed No | 45c | 279.59$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.35 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 276$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 54c | 262.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 46c | 255.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 47c | 235.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 64c | 225$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 60c | 216.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…5490backed Yes | 70c | 215.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 64c | 206.13$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 195.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 47c | 191.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 19c | 180.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 32c | 174.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed No | 77c | 169.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 48c | 167.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 50c | 163.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 27c | 162.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 70c | 152.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…8f04backed Yes | 20c | 151.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…1843backed No | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 143 | 72%103 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 50c | 149.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 78c | 142.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 46c | 133.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 59c | 132.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 65c | 128.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 51c | 128.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 15c | 126.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 48c | 124.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 71c | 120.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 385 | 15.6%60 W · 325 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 39c | 117$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 49c | 116.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 43c | 113.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 113.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked Yes | 54c | 111.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked Yes | 44c | 109.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…17e5backed Yes | 53c | 108.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 9c | 107.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 36c | 102.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 54c | 101.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 50c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 46c | 94.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 60c | 94.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 61c | 92.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2087backed Yes | 29c | 89.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…f6c5backed Yes | 60c | 88.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 61c | 88.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 64c | 86.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 40c | 85.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 34c | 82.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…94cbbacked Yes | 38c | 80.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 34c | 78.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 40c | 77.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 76.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 60c | 75.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…7773backed No | 68c | 73.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 26c | 73.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 72.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 21c | 71.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 41c | 69.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 60c | 66.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 49c | 61.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8de…e8a1backed Yes | 71c | 60.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 67c | 57.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 61c | 56.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 54c | 53.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 59c | 52.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 30c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 79°F or below on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.