TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,662,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,576,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,662,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 750 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over39c130,000$50,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,699.9622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under63c129,955$82,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,724.5177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over38c125,000$47,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,50021343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c114,087$75,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,401.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under62c100,641$62,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,186.2333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over38c80,000$30,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,399.9942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under61c77,794$47,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,971.4220955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c8c…6b71backed Under62c70,026$43,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,609.761225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over31c69,554$21,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,628.821,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over38c65,789$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3535…a775backed Over36c52,564$18,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,923.192326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Over38c50,000$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,999.924040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c47,925$6,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,807.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over39c38,122$14,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,762.051,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under62c33,000$20,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,539.9732031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c29,768$17,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,861.882,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over32c28,144$9,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,014.661,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c26,620$16,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,167.233,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over0c24,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c23,913$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.9451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under75c16,362$12,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.1166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over43c16,111$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0004025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Under62c16,033$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,032.5211645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Over38c15,000$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,649.984938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over29c13,511$3,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,87611963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over37c12,500$4,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,624.9674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c44…0fb0backed Under62c11,174$6,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.482080%16 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Over39c10,805$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.077744.2%34 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under62c10,763$6,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.491,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over8c9,906$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.0834924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over38c7,941$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.9895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over38c7,895$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under62c7,777$4,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.2619038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over39c7,695$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0017448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Under62c7,407$4,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,814.667962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over37c7,218$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,68850243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over22c6,500$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c6,189$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over36c6,095$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.2124144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under62c5,719$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.361,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Over34c5,500$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8706132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over24c5,435$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.1139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under62c5,336$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.681,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ab…784ebacked Under76c5,259$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.044438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over29c5,156$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.284740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over33c5,077$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c5,049$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.962,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9918837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.981,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Under62c4,845$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.458354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Under63c4,762$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.99645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Under63c4,753$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.554459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over29c4,003$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.9369534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over39c4,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under63c3,997$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.877163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over21c3,934$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.232,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over28c3,574$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00115440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70c…34cabacked Under73c3,452$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.971973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Under60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.3313453%71 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under39c3,276$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.3531545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under70c3,266$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over8c3,125$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over7c2,996$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.5833740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under69c2,903$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.0919158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over41c2,870$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over26c2,829$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.413920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be8…2b3dbacked Under72c2,774$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over37c2,621$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.4220560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over36c2,485$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over16c2,433$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.562,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over38c2,310$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.131,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under57c2,300$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98916050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over38c2,093$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.5658029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over38c2,087$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.8710448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over36c2,048$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.3529138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under65c2,031$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.821,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over8c1,940$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over24c1,880$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.781,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under71c1,825$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.8434845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x620e…5032backed Under64c1,807$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.663560%21 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+30.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under62c1,798$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.4324626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over29c1,703$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.8338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under61c1,680$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.481,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce4…b29fbacked Over38c1,675$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.421145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d64…3940backed Under62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.93467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ec…1ee8backed Under64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.54827.1%13 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x086c…50bbbacked Over39c1,502$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.97644.7%34 W · 42 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.144940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.9719850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over23c1,499$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.8635424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over21c1,442$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over31c1,410$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c1,396$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.762,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Over36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under78c1,385$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.062,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over33c1,385$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4545516.4%9 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.