TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Over55c36,251$19,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,256.5814248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c30,498$13,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,269.693,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c24,043$9,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,515.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under46c21,049$9,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,771.232,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over57c14,150$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.1614343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under37c12,447$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,592.559233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under37c10,795$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,990.9544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.9414542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under43c9,134$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,969.736437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under7c5,838$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.5928229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over62c4,268$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.151,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over65c3,597$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over67c2,967$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.814264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under37c2,671$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over66c2,607$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.3127032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under34c2,289$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.3334533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under43c2,090$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.752,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over74c2,086$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.471,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1173…037ebacked Over76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over61c1,997$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.191,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over63c1,905$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7112,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over55c1,873$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.7366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over70c1,861$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.6736539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under29c1,792$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.5861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under25c1,508$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9213731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under43c1,502$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.932,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under40c1,473$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.6225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under32c1,457$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.2416050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over67c1,456$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.361,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under31c1,384$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6625339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over54c1,376$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.17930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over67c1,375$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.4111042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under4c1,367$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under37c1,150$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.615040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under8c1,136$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3843737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Over64c1,111$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c1,108$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.83,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c1,077$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.588,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under23c1,056$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under23c999.95$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under43c974.62$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.337047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9337223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over71c904.36$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.271,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Under10c900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under27c871.97$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3612429%36 W · 88 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under24c807.92$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.223,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2565538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under32c774.13$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6419649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Over77c763.64$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.647167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under40c762.37$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1834731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over54c760$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.627655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over72c754.49$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4524533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under24c753.78$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.911,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over60c750.23$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5713247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c737.46$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.292,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over76c699.98$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16818449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under30c684.98$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7817534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8914659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over76c636.53$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.11,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under4c619.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2746012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3621…3c9fbacked Under33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over76c604.35$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0429558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over75c603.68$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.352,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over54c601.83$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8421641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under33c599.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9914131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over61c584.69$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.272,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over59c564$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.4412663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under23c535.86$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2564443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under32c521.06$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16529740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fed…c228backed Over76c510$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.46529.2%19 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over59c506.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.099168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over76c503.95$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9522355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20514433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over75c491.09$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.773,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under34c454.55$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5514856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5535244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under45c451.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.369744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc44…fa40backed Over68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.184245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Over53c437.74$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.745343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over76c436$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.722,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…0201backed Under37c405.41$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0916…32efbacked Over77c383.12$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.121752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under25c350.95$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under41c349.06$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1170750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c336.28$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.344,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd282…9e22backed Over59c332.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.251662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Over56c330$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.26536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Under45c305.39$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.083250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under36c282.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x152d…1b20backed Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.678955.1%49 W · 40 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5de…c4a9backed Over77c260.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.419156%51 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over62c231.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9546562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over69c231.01$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.192,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over61c225$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4560752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f9…8450backed Over55c223.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.646549.2%32 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under44c220$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.823440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.