Spread: Germany (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89a097ecc9be34c7c4d6ac4377fe4c90f1d267bcf2a287464b959564b5c8f33a

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Côte d'Ivoireof Germany, Côte d'Ivoire
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $268,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $267,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,328 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6d77…bcafbacked Germany	10c	50,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Germany	11c	40,614$4,468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,467.54	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Germany	7c	25,921$1,806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,806.11	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Germany	6c	7,089$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.84	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Germany	11c	5,416$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.48	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Germany	9c	4,935$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.15	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ca…7f1bbacked Germany	11c	4,398$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Germany	10c	4,201$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.14	362	50%181 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Germany	11c	3,909$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Germany	11c	3,353$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.24	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Germany	11c	2,706$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.65	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Germany	10c	2,400$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.78	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Germany	9c	2,222$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed Germany	9c	2,000$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.39	73	21.9%16 W · 57 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Germany	10c	1,248$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.72	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Germany	10c	1,173$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.81	127	24.4%31 W · 96 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfeae…d0a2backed Germany	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb966…6e44backed Germany	12c	1,035$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Germany	11c	1,006$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.64	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Germany	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	283	37.1%105 W · 178 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Germany	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	142	35.9%51 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…71c5backed Germany	10c	993.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Germany	9c	933.24$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.41	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x423f…2752backed Germany	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Germany	10c	800$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	97	19.6%19 W · 78 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed Germany	5c	800$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Germany	10c	712.99$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.3	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Germany	9c	692.09$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.92	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Germany	7c	690.58$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.36	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Germany	10c	669$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.67	79	11.4%9 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb142…c4bdbacked Germany	9c	666.67$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd577…048cbacked Germany	3c	644.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked Germany	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Germany	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Germany	11c	588$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.68	114	36.8%42 W · 72 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Germany	9c	562.73$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.65	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Germany	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-7.1wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Germany	6c	520.32$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.14	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Germany	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9628…741cbacked Germany	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Germany	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Germany	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	267	16.1%43 W · 224 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d76…92b5backed Germany	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Germany	10c	400$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.1	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Germany	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Germany	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	135	45.9%62 W · 73 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Germany	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Germany	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	152	25.7%39 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…8f92backed Germany	11c	299$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.89	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+17%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e5a…7032backed Germany	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed Germany	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+27%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Germany	11c	222$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	199	35.2%70 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Germany	9c	204.83$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.43	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ec6…2ad1backed Germany	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Germany	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked Germany	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Germany	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Germany	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	184	26.1%48 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Germany	7c	189.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Germany	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	360	38.1%137 W · 223 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb18e…5343backed Germany	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	28.4%29 W · 73 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6504…cff6backed Germany	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	36cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Germany	9c	180.89$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72e8…4903backed Germany	10c	180$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17a…3e6ebacked Germany	8c	178.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Germany	9c	160$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6096…e6d9backed Germany	11c	153.84$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	88	55.7%49 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c52…cdf1backed Germany	9c	151.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	83	27.7%23 W · 60 L	-6.9wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Germany	8c	140$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed Germany	11c	136.68$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	103	28.2%29 W · 74 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d4…6e9bbacked Germany	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	211	28%59 W · 152 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd0…7b7bbacked Germany	11c	136.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Germany	9c	125.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	197	42.6%84 W · 113 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Germany	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd2…b879backed Germany	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xddcf…cbf5backed Germany	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1453…a2ffbacked Germany	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa6…e929backed Germany	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	135	37.8%51 W · 84 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-3.5)this page
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Côte d'Ivoire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event