TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,851 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4520…9182backed Over5c3,968$200 inLost-$20015146.4%70 W · 81 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4186…7513backed Over1c3,963$48 inLost-$48.454425%11 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x963f…b421backed Over5c2,834$141 inLost-$141.253212.5%4 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over5c2,500$120 inLost-$12034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Over5c2,040$100 inLost-$10019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Over5c1,993$98 inLost-$97.66545.6%3 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Over2c1,500$27 inLost-$26.6156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-87.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over4c1,211$50 inLost-$506926.1%18 W · 51 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c90…fbfcbacked Over4c1,000$40 inLost-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over4c891.33$36 inLost-$368423.8%20 W · 64 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+16.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0239…6e89backed Over4c841.3$30 inLost-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+91.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f7…179bbacked Over4c625$25 inLost-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over4c621.2$26 inLost-$26.252,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Over4c500$20 inLost-$2013021.5%28 W · 102 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2880…d888backed Over4c500$20 inLost-$203122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over5c408.16$20 inLost-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…2a6abacked Over4c375$15 inLost-$155117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-3.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over4c336.5$13 inLost-$13.46595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over4c250$10 inLost-$1012020%24 W · 96 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0872…8cbfbacked Over5c242.49$11 inLost-$112931%9 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…4b75backed Over5c217$11 inLost-$10.855922%13 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over5c200$10 inLost-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.