TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$783,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$890,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $783,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under18c189,358$34,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,168.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under17c43,989$7,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,409.6233538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under17c32,218$5,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,564.753,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under24c16,777$4,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,006.277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over75c12,871$9,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200.5666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under17c9,629$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.081,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under14c7,767$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.781,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under12c6,739$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.6614829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under16c6,612$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.121,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under17c5,985$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.5223857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under9c5,025$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.830642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under17c5,025$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.321,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under17c4,836$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.172,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under10c4,025$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.315929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under16c3,904$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.644,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under11c3,673$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.3813268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under17c3,180$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.6158029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under17c3,176$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.441,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,063$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6321314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under17c3,008$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.621,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9815128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under17c2,981$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.7130054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Under17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under20c2,800$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.2139933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under10c2,610$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7538819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under18c2,233$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.0569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over80c2,176$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.183,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Under14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9910518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under16c1,905$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.561,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Under3c1,777$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.129030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under17c1,680$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under17c1,592$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.3384844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under18c1,400$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over68c1,352$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.78723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under3c1,317$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9243737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under16c1,165$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3836031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under17c1,138$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.463,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over79c1,100$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2325154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under17c1,031$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.712,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under10c1,002$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.661,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under17c944.23$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.582,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Under10c933.89$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.398950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over79c913.61$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under15c886.67$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5623440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ebf…ff4abacked Under12c833.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over76c825.17$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9719939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Under15c809.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.493831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x975e…f875backed Under15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under17c705.88$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over72c695$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.746230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over77c690.54$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.821963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf962…938cbacked Under15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under23c654.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under14c651.44$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.223036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under19c600.67$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.381,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over79c576.9$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8636…81d8backed Under17c575.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009542.1%40 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e7…377dbacked Under32c570.62$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.69253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Under24c562.5$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13514725.9%38 W · 109 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Under18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009936.4%36 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…1a87backed Under18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100606.7%4 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over79c520$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.645445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under17c480$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.511,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bba…0686backed Under16c479.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2f…7212backed Under20c461.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.311435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under17c413.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under28c404.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under18c384.87$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2834330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under18c377.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6845248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Under15c374.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.115621.4%12 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x805b…ee0cbacked Over78c364.13$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3423844.1%105 W · 133 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f2…44aabacked Over77c357.12$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.145068%34 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under17c330.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.223,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under13c312.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.12,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9808…6c1abacked Under22c309.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.274540%18 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under16c305.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7582348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5418433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Under17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012334.1%42 W · 81 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Under17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Under14c290.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under17c280.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5226534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under14c277.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8132656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under18c270.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.391,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under15c270$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.146445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under17c268.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.483,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9253…0baebacked Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.678055%44 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf215…79ccbacked Under9c236.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.727733.8%26 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e8…46c5backed Under13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Over80c230$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under16c227.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9858942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.