Spread: Germany (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda9d31973fe12b0ece85c3300c15ec2506cef64b91d47ddd7798d715342c56a

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Côte d'Ivoireof Germany, Côte d'Ivoire
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $676,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $672,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,232 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Côte d'Ivoire	77c	130,004$99,838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,165.98	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Germany	23c	108,664$25,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,100.01	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Germany	23c	93,347$21,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,507.87	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Germany	20c	91,624$18,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,645.08	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x780a…84f0backed Côte d'Ivoire	77c	59,999$46,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,799.75	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Côte d'Ivoire	77c	40,473$31,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,181.29	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Côte d'Ivoire	77c	25,000$19,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,750	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Germany	22c	22,625$4,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,898.96	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Côte d'Ivoire	79c	18,249$14,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,808.56	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1255…fa6fbacked Germany	7c	13,433$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Côte d'Ivoire	77c	11,850$9,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,688.29	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Germany	24c	10,951$2,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,581.34	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Germany	8c	10,504$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.1	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Côte d'Ivoire	78c	8,514$6,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,912.04	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Côte d'Ivoire	77c	8,500$6,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,924.97	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Germany	23c	8,087$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,836.68	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Côte d'Ivoire	78c	8,013$6,214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.5	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Germany	6c	7,850$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	154	40.3%62 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Germany	20c	7,487$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Germany	22c	7,137$1,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,584.2	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Côte d'Ivoire	77c	6,733$5,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,531.75	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ca…7f1bbacked Germany	24c	6,250$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Côte d'Ivoire	77c	6,000$4,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Germany	23c	5,555$1,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,277.65	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Germany	23c	4,277$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Germany	23c	4,157$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.51	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Côte d'Ivoire	76c	4,000$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.99	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Germany	23c	3,568$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.2	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Germany	22c	3,333$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.2	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Côte d'Ivoire	78c	3,221$2,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.59	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Germany	23c	3,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Germany	23c	2,946$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.19	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Germany	23c	2,946$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.7	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Côte d'Ivoire	77c	2,782$2,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.79	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Germany	3c	2,726$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.47	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Côte d'Ivoire	77c	2,469$1,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.61	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Côte d'Ivoire	78c	2,243$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.46	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Germany	22c	2,209$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.91	580	29.5%171 W · 409 L	-19.9wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Germany	23c	2,174$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Côte d'Ivoire	78c	2,022$1,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.65	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Germany	24c	2,007$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477	80	26.3%21 W · 59 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	+6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Côte d'Ivoire	79c	2,000$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Côte d'Ivoire	78c	1,916$1,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.03	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Germany	21c	1,905$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	214	43%92 W · 122 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Germany	15c	1,833$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.44	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Côte d'Ivoire	78c	1,801$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.79	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e77…a6bdbacked Germany	23c	1,739$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c6…45aebacked Germany	24c	1,667$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	127	36.2%46 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd044…a6febacked Germany	22c	1,600$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.99	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Germany	24c	1,592$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Germany	23c	1,574$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.19	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Germany	14c	1,526$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.77	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Germany	22c	1,523$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.67	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed Germany	22c	1,500$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Germany	24c	1,442$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Germany	22c	1,364$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Germany	20c	1,361$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.81	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Germany	9c	1,360$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.4	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf36c…49e5backed Côte d'Ivoire	78c	1,282$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.05	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	70cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f0…987bbacked Germany	21c	1,261$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.8	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed Germany	22c	1,080$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.78	73	21.9%16 W · 57 L	-5.8wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Germany	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	138	26.1%36 W · 102 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Germany	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	283	37.1%105 W · 178 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb048…7f07backed Germany	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Germany	23c	1,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ca…e881backed Germany	21c	999.99$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Germany	22c	980.73$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.67	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Germany	23c	980.04$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.41	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Germany	5c	952.1$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.59	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Germany	24c	852.89$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.12	343	30%103 W · 240 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed Germany	17c	803$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.75	152	35.5%54 W · 98 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked Germany	23c	714$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.22	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Côte d'Ivoire	77c	703.2$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.74	402	40%161 W · 241 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x829c…6cf6backed Germany	23c	698.85$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.74	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Germany	5c	680.09$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Germany	22c	671.19$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.66	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Côte d'Ivoire	78c	641.03$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.03	145	68.3%99 W · 46 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Côte d'Ivoire	75c	629.48$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.58	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d5…8863backed Germany	23c	626.96$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.2	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Côte d'Ivoire	78c	626.55$492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.79	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Germany	24c	625$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	107	57%61 W · 46 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Germany	22c	583.56$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.38	203	33.5%68 W · 135 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc435…1923backed Côte d'Ivoire	79c	567.43$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.43	65	72.3%47 W · 18 L	+7.5wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Germany	19c	554$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.98	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Côte d'Ivoire	78c	540.7$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.02	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Côte d'Ivoire	79c	529.99$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.89	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Germany	22c	511.98$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.64	127	24.4%31 W · 96 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Germany	21c	511.76$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.47	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db6…c21ebacked Germany	8c	508$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.52	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Côte d'Ivoire	78c	500.23$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.05	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60f…ba25backed Germany	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Côte d'Ivoire	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Germany	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Germany	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	166	37.3%62 W · 104 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a6…995cbacked Germany	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Germany	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Germany	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	+6.1wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08d5…1cbbbacked Germany	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Germany	23c	435$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.05	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed Germany	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)this page
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Côte d'Ivoire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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