Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee7475020e951d5ac305a0498e5cdb7c3df566c1010a3214ca8cc6eca4bf9437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 9,457$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 8c | 1,905$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 18c | 1,600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.27 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 7c | 1,575$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 17c | 1,466$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.73 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe668…8a94backed Over | 18c | 1,379$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.27 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed Over | 18c | 1,326$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 16c | 1,320$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.26 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 21c | 1,310$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.83 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Over | 8c | 1,293$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 78c | 1,274$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.94 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…2983backed Over | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Over | 18c | 1,085$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 17c | 709$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea44…7e91backed Over | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 7c | 571.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 18c | 526.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 15c | 350$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 18c | 320.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cc…a636backed Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 286.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 19c | 263.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Over | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 9c | 172.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 10c | 167$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…4e15backed Over | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 18c | 161.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 13c | 146.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 16c | 130.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…2eb3backed Over | 19c | 121.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Over | 24c | 118.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…28aebacked Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…1898backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a1…a667backed Over | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.