TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,372 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa700…102bbacked Under1c5,420$38 inLost-$38.451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under67c4,256$2,832 inLost-$2,831.5429154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under68c1,013$689 inLost-$688.7286452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c895$300 inWon+$594.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under68c828.31$564 inLost-$563.549266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over32c821.91$263 inWon+$558.99237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over35c789.7$276 inWon+$513.32,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1173…037ebacked Over33c750$248 inWon+$502.52254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over33c734.26$244 inWon+$490.1792038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under67c693.76$465 inLost-$464.8246550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under68c650$442 inLost-$44245038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over33c500$165 inWon+$33511545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over34c500$170 inWon+$33095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over32c412.5$132 inWon+$280.554917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked Under65c391.03$254 inLost-$254.178853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over32c314.5$101 inWon+$213.863,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over33c298.14$98 inWon+$199.751,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Over32c281$90 inWon+$191.087230.6%22 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over32c269.58$86 inWon+$183.3158029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84f…dd03backed Over32c228.3$73 inWon+$155.238622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over32c224.23$73 inWon+$151.713,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over60c202.44$121 inWon+$81.0620186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under68c157$107 inLost-$106.7676551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d2b…d9a5backed Over33c151.52$50 inWon+$101.521241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over33c148.13$49 inWon+$99.263,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over34c102.29$35 inWon+$67.552,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over36c100$36 inWon+$6412537.6%47 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over33c85.14$28 inWon+$57.151,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over27c76.99$21 inWon+$56.28338.6%32 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over34c75.28$25 inWon+$49.961,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c2…e2d9backed Under73c68.49$50 inLost-$501662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…9024backed Over33c66.67$22 inWon+$44.6713740.1%55 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over34c48.88$17 inWon+$32.261,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over35c45$16 inWon+$29.2542640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Under67c45$30 inLost-$30.1545472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under67c36.67$25 inLost-$24.574,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Under68c16.27$11 inLost-$11.0636558.4%213 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.