Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d37df550f41364f972afb1acb7284e6171d2666ff74d5bf9bbe53db083124cb

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Germanyof Côte d'Ivoire, Germany
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $344,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $368,609

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,527 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee67…ef38backed Côte d'Ivoire	5c	50,000$2,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,498.17	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Côte d'Ivoire	5c	12,221$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.74	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Côte d'Ivoire	4c	12,113$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.09	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Côte d'Ivoire	4c	10,477$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.54	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f2…e1c1backed Côte d'Ivoire	4c	8,536$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.57	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Côte d'Ivoire	13c	7,763$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.16	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Côte d'Ivoire	14c	6,942$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.56	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Côte d'Ivoire	7c	4,628$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Côte d'Ivoire	4c	4,356$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.14	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Côte d'Ivoire	17c	2,930$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.81	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Côte d'Ivoire	3c	2,660$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.81	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Côte d'Ivoire	18c	2,000$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	107	36.4%39 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Côte d'Ivoire	11c	1,512$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.95	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Côte d'Ivoire	4c	1,501$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.02	489	37%181 W · 308 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Côte d'Ivoire	14c	1,500$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb102…c73dbacked Côte d'Ivoire	5c	1,400$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Côte d'Ivoire	11c	1,293$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.18	168	33.9%57 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Côte d'Ivoire	14c	1,103$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Côte d'Ivoire	5c	935.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.54	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Côte d'Ivoire	1c	824.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.62	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Côte d'Ivoire	4c	800.42$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Côte d'Ivoire	15c	677.23$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.69	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb966…6e44backed Côte d'Ivoire	4c	639.1$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.9	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Côte d'Ivoire	4c	555$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Côte d'Ivoire	13c	500$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	121	45.5%55 W · 66 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Côte d'Ivoire	7c	466$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.78	257	19.1%49 W · 208 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Côte d'Ivoire	4c	412.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.25	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Côte d'Ivoire	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Côte d'Ivoire	13c	400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Côte d'Ivoire	4c	388.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.83	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Côte d'Ivoire	5c	367.08$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-8.6wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f59…e61dbacked Côte d'Ivoire	5c	367.06$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Côte d'Ivoire	8c	354.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Côte d'Ivoire	3c	350.06$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.31	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf649…e594backed Côte d'Ivoire	7c	301.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	38.8%33 W · 52 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Côte d'Ivoire	17c	288.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	38%30 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…9fd9backed Côte d'Ivoire	14c	285.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	74	4.1%3 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Côte d'Ivoire	4c	251.13$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775b…d38abacked Côte d'Ivoire	12c	246.4$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.55	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Côte d'Ivoire	5c	240$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9df…5c7abacked Côte d'Ivoire	5c	230.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ca…1d02backed Côte d'Ivoire	6c	224.14$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Côte d'Ivoire	13c	222.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Côte d'Ivoire	14c	215.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Côte d'Ivoire	9c	209.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Côte d'Ivoire	12c	208.55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.05	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Côte d'Ivoire	12c	203.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.39	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Côte d'Ivoire	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	3%6 W · 194 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd697…def2backed Côte d'Ivoire	16c	199.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.96	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Côte d'Ivoire	14c	197.37$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.27	91	7.7%7 W · 84 L	-9.8wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25a4…2694backed Côte d'Ivoire	14c	165$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Côte d'Ivoire	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	180	2.8%5 W · 175 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Côte d'Ivoire	13c	121.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.05	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x441a…ac0abacked Côte d'Ivoire	17c	117.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	31cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked Côte d'Ivoire	14c	108.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa1…f0b2backed Côte d'Ivoire	14c	107.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-5.9wins	-0.16per pick	32cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba6c…08ebbacked Côte d'Ivoire	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Côte d'Ivoire	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	106	14.2%15 W · 91 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4430…541fbacked Côte d'Ivoire	18c	81.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	93	37.6%35 W · 58 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Côte d'Ivoire	17c	74.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	390	43.6%170 W · 220 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfc41…c397backed Côte d'Ivoire	15c	72.05$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)this page
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5Under won
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Côte d'Ivoire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event