TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,690 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd4da…3175backed Over29c6,620$1,938 inLost-$1,937.598047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c4,333$3,075 inWon+$1,257.794,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c3,600$2,602 inWon+$997.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under71c2,000$1,430 inWon+$569.971,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c1,685$1,197 inWon+$487.472,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over27c1,463$400 inLost-$40037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over29c1,345$390 inLost-$390.195330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over29c955.28$274 inLost-$274.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over29c699.52$201 inLost-$201.2245421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over29c627.83$182 inLost-$182.3922122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under73c499.99$365 inWon+$13595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over27c415.7$111 inLost-$111.219935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under70c300$210 inWon+$89.631,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Over28c184.02$52 inLost-$51.5312724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under77c182.99$141 inWon+$41.523,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under74c180.81$134 inWon+$472,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under72c177.3$128 inWon+$49.772,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under72c165.64$119 inWon+$46.871,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Over29c127.59$37 inLost-$377142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7de…2b59backed Over27c120$32 inLost-$32.47720.8%16 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587c…9c4ebacked Over28c119.86$34 inLost-$33.5610019%19 W · 81 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x80cd…0558backed Over28c107.14$30 inLost-$309318.3%17 W · 76 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over29c103.45$30 inLost-$3011555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe126…76bfbacked Over30c101$30 inLost-$29.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11a8…3a61backed Over29c100.93$29 inLost-$29.275050%25 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over29c100$29 inLost-$2926921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over29c95.48$28 inLost-$27.6924935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over28c88.02$25 inLost-$24.6558029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa4…3854backed Over28c82.14$23 inLost-$231931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed Over28c71.43$20 inLost-$2010328.2%29 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under72c62.17$45 inWon+$17.381,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d53…200ebacked Over29c62.07$18 inLost-$187237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e2…6c12backed Over30c55.33$17 inLost-$16.61421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-59.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under72c55.18$40 inWon+$15.1843460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over30c50$15 inLost-$1514526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over29c39.93$11 inLost-$11.4692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under71c30$21 inWon+$8.623866.8%159 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under70c27.68$19 inWon+$8.263,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Under73c20.55$15 inWon+$5.556355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under77c19.35$15 inWon+$4.452,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.