Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x729108a0048969b358852b8650460fb3b95d52d58ffa104a06bb450c7f1fce4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 2,591$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.41 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 2,038$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 65c | 1,585$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 1,527$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…037ebacked Over | 65c | 1,154$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 34c | 999.95$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.97 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Over | 29c | 824.98$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.44 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 36c | 750$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Over | 64c | 555$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 439.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over | 66c | 314.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…8f0dbacked Over | 66c | 313.64$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 35c | 260.26$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 64c | 217.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 203.16$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Over | 65c | 202.12$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc20…8ed3backed Over | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 35c | 191.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…7c03backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 36c | 144.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 36c | 143.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 9c | 123.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…1c3bbacked Over | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 64c | 105.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Over | 49c | 99.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…222dbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…7e4bbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Under | 33c | 76.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…f76dbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 65c | 70.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…2c7bbacked Over | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…01abbacked Over | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 40.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 65c | 38.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…9c50backed Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Over | 65c | 35.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…a3b8backed Over | 66c | 34.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19a3…e23dbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa860…b2cfbacked Over | 67c | 29.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 64c | 28.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…14b5backed Over | 64c | 21.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…5cb6backed Over | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 65c | 16.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.