TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,955 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c1,100$622 inWon+$477.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under43c997.79$434 inLost-$433.5834249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under32c892.54$285 inLost-$285.314,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9705…7442backed Over47c400$188 inWon+$2121952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+102.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under43c331.54$143 inLost-$142.5653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over58c300$174 inWon+$12611946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under23c280.5$66 inLost-$65.861,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c277.6$126 inLost-$125.893,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under17c224.3$38 inLost-$37.971,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under27c224$60 inLost-$59.581,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over57c215.79$123 inWon+$92.7930831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over54c192.99$105 inWon+$87.993447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c124.86$62 inWon+$62.82,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under29c122$35 inLost-$35.411,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over27c118$32 inWon+$86.142,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under39c94.02$37 inLost-$36.5758049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Under45c88.89$40 inLost-$4056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over55c60$33 inWon+$277640.8%31 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c52.37$27 inWon+$25.663,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under35c43$15 inLost-$14.932,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8cbf…79c3backed Under47c37.1$17 inLost-$17.445658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over71c35.75$25 inWon+$10.421,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa72…dc07backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon+$12.796838.2%26 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost-$1511655.2%64 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c30.27$16 inWon+$14.633,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a55…3072backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon+$11.324953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under46c25$12 inLost-$11.52,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over55c22$12 inWon+$9.92,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.