TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$378,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x06f2…1269backed Over5c44,502$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.5538333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over0c24,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c20,589$16,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,241.72,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Over8c18,070$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.477647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over12c11,619$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.261,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over18c9,954$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.051,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under78c7,500$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under78c6,695$5,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under78c6,014$4,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.442,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over22c5,974$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.071,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over21c5,555$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.5532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over11c5,000$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5683920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over22c4,550$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0017448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over21c4,275$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.0218837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under78c4,039$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.572,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under71c3,908$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.061,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c3,871$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Under80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75013453%71 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under78c3,590$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.7786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under79c3,322$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.621,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over20c2,647$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.3146230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under79c2,378$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Over22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over11c2,191$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.062,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over8c1,953$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over22c1,755$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0214612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over21c1,616$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.3685550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Over1c1,598$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.987326%19 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under79c1,564$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.811,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over19c1,518$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.362937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over16c1,453$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.532,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Over22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006330.2%19 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under79c1,323$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2652744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over22c1,277$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over17c1,216$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5081…41fdbacked Over21c1,190$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502339.1%9 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over21c1,143$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over21c1,106$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.229428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over21c1,061$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9758029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe668…8a94backed Over22c1,045$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over12c1,040$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7722919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over21c1,028$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…a750backed Over22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under78c848$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Over22c800$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176545.6%3 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over10c772.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.613713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over17c770$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d07…ade2backed Over22c752.95$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.651533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over9c715.29$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.271,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over2c700$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.246525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc932…289bbacked Over21c685.71$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Over22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c652.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.762,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a5…38d8backed Under80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254461.4%27 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over21c606.42$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under79c521$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.413,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8a…112bbacked Over22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108117.3%14 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over21c478.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5924140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under78c468.65$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.822462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Over22c461.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005223.1%12 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2cc…4c52backed Over21c460.47$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…680dbacked Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaebb…c29abacked Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9927637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b64…dab3backed Over16c414.03$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.671637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over17c413$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.212,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over7c386.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.074,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Under79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7513943.9%61 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over17c359.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1234330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over19c350$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over20c343.37$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under79c330.06$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.311,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over20c320.32$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.182,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over20c320$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.281,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312534.4%43 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016149.7%80 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over27c271.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.431,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8fc…022bbacked Over22c266$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.529129.7%27 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…2a6abacked Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-3.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb42b…afe0backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8409…753dbacked Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012020%24 W · 96 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-33.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023633.9%80 W · 156 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3c…dc1dbacked Over22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.