Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8001a9c2a7c4930db5a1d99d2fccf71b839534fade3910f2807662d722e4e45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 6c | 68,593$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Under | 2c | 25,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 4c | 19,628$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.73 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Under | 4c | 14,701$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.06 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 4c | 12,326$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.11 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Under | 6c | 7,699$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.77 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 4c | 6,500$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 4c | 4,879$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…9fb6backed Under | 4c | 4,305$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 4c | 4,106$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Under | 5c | 4,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…8dafbacked Under | 1c | 3,796$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 4c | 2,848$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 4c | 2,464$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 7c | 2,259$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 6c | 2,202$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Under | 5c | 2,200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Under | 5c | 2,004$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 76c | 1,965$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.35 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Under | 5c | 1,915$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Under | 7c | 1,795$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 4c | 1,636$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 4c | 1,155$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Under | 4c | 1,058$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 59c | 971.04$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.13 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 4c | 969.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked Under | 4c | 800.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…377dbacked Under | 5c | 773$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 4c | 758.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Under | 7c | 724.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 5c | 722.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Under | 4c | 671.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…44bfbacked Under | 8c | 641.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ab99backed Under | 5c | 638.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Under | 4c | 555.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 122 | 24.6%30 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 4c | 532.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 4c | 530.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Under | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under | 4c | 499.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 5c | 487.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under | 4c | 325.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 4c | 324.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 5c | 323.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 5c | 308.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Under | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a64…51d1backed Under | 5c | 299.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Under | 5c | 267$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 4c | 262.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 7c | 213.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 8c | 201.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5this page
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Côte d'Ivoire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.