TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$375,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over6c21,871$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.124,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over9c18,241$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.31595.1%3 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over10c18,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80012825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over10c13,111$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.11,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over1c10,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5915…db2bbacked Over9c9,778$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.062536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over10c9,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over9c8,578$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over9c8,074$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.522,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over10c7,735$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over8c6,974$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.8177433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c5,403$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.274,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Over10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500545.6%3 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over10c4,739$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.872,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over4c4,678$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over6c4,607$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.993,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Over8c3,110$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.83920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff9…ca43backed Over5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over10c2,847$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.72,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over2c2,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5535424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over10c2,462$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over4c2,400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.91529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over9c1,712$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.12,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over10c1,192$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.183,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over7c1,181$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.772,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4520…9182backed Over9c1,133$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9815146.4%70 W · 81 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe668…8a94backed Over10c1,050$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Over10c1,006$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6224140.2%97 W · 144 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…f43cbacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005722.8%13 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8a…112bbacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008117.3%14 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…23c4backed Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+50.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over3c899.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.246525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over7c860.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6134330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over10c832.3$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.221,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over4c721.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…f490backed Over10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over7c699.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7278317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c698.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.922,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over4c625$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x470f…e804backed Over10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60244.2%1 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over10c560$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568423.8%20 W · 64 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+16.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…0720backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3b…ab63backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508619.8%17 W · 69 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f9…2233backed Over10c480$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482528%7 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over10c480$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d76…92b5backed Over9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409428.7%27 W · 67 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over9c399.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.481,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Over10c384$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.47911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9761…9070backed Over10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-50.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Over10c333.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3311642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Over10c308.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83541.9%1 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-92.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…2a6abacked Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-3.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe692…05e8backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308225.6%21 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Over10c295.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635a…a612backed Over10c276.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.661850%9 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed Over10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over9c244.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.981,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c46…d8bebacked Over10c230$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over9c229.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6668141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.843819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Over8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526146%120 W · 141 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821b…d028backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-71.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206619.7%13 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011436%41 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1435…7b52backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203625%9 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011535.7%41 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over8c199$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9247744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over9c179.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.122,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over8c171.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5332317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a17…048ebacked Over9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+160.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe075…59e9backed Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…8428backed Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0872…8cbfbacked Over10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132931%9 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over10c121$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218036.1%65 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb4…ec61backed Over9c119.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.813031.5%41 W · 89 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Over10c112.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2732312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1149426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b4…48c8backed Over10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-68.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109146.2%42 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cf…18a3backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-74.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.