TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$371,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Over42c71,264$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c33,669$23,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,794.054,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over39c22,342$8,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,744.3724533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over27c18,187$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.7614542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b5…c5a8backed Under58c16,349$9,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,857.852462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under58c12,000$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under58c6,258$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.3137959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Over42c6,190$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.418640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under72c6,095$4,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over21c5,633$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c5,263$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.93,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c4,743$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over3c4,527$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under58c4,500$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.9686452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Over46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.994264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over39c4,100$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.3822943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.981,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under59c3,811$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.656640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8edc…552bbacked Over43c3,665$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.931963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over40c3,564$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.482,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under58c3,450$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.472,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under61c2,933$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.422,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over32c2,750$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.442,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under48c2,523$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.8428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over22c2,386$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.2259453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over29c2,300$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6668748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over20c2,299$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.774740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under53c2,161$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.0930054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea44…7e91backed Over41c2,150$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8878941.6%37 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under76c2,113$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.4725049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over20c1,982$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3834122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over73c1,947$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over42c1,905$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under58c1,894$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.4418850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over17c1,852$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2845421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c1,846$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under45c1,798$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.2925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c1,690$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.682,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under66c1,673$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.9515040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over60c1,667$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5541968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under58c1,600$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Under54c1,591$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.98349.4%41 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over42c1,590$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.672,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over23c1,552$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2190…5bdebacked Under64c1,535$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.48850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under66c1,531$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.239233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Under12c1,500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.992630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under59c1,486$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.4361750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over41c1,481$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under58c1,472$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.2426454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under63c1,438$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.522,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under54c1,413$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.2316050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under58c1,400$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under60c1,392$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.6713857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over8c1,300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over37c1,287$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.0717938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e7…9408backed Over42c1,256$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.362045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over16c1,176$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19217534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over12c1,131$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under58c1,120$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.761,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over42c1,119$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47022436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…7b64backed Over41c1,016$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.371136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+94.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under60c999.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9912947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over22c998.94$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.453629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under58c950$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39925857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under67c901.15$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.0819649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Over44c889.16$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.4129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over29c868.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.0136437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over32c839.08$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.9912241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over42c818.52$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7827742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under60c770$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3087852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under69c766$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.341,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15c8…23fdbacked Over22c703.49$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.333030%9 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over42c702$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.846246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over42c699$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5815440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over37c695.03$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.6921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under59c692.01$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.721,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over42c678.57$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2857847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over41c669.24$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3958029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over46c663.48$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9713727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under54c647.01$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.72,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over42c640.48$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26916123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under10c640.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.084524.4%11 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+183.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over24c621.21$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0936234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over22c611.32$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0725865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1386555.4%36 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25239050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25238451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over27c591.77$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6213351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under59c572.38$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.435451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over45c533.73$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6133438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.