TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd60f…ba25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$181
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$71.49
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$59.3
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+1,952.7%+$390.53
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.95
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Peru win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$38.85
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.21
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+394.6%+$666.09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+166.6%+$24.99
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$73.5
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$4.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Song Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Italy vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.