Fifa International · resolved market
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ea38824f4afebd0362dd6d8c3e4f68ca4e4ecbfec3653c15cf55f03102cb0f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Yes | 46c | 41,742$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 17,409$11,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,957.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 53c | 6,417$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.72 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 52c | 6,401$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.02 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 5,785$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 5,739$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.72 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 54c | 4,947$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.68 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 45c | 3,969$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.98 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 60c | 3,785$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.09 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…5518backed Yes | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Yes | 47c | 3,228$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 2,433$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 55c | 2,236$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 64c | 2,172$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.56 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 47c | 2,087$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.9 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 2,008$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,987$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.96 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed No | 72c | 1,340$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 49c | 1,291$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.04 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 75c | 1,094$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.84 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 53c | 996.27$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.63 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 51c | 989.59$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 45c | 900$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 810.34$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.16 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 56c | 777$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 732.59$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.18 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 53c | 693.56$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.73 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed No | 57c | 684.77$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.45 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 30c | 652.17$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 607.14$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.28 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 602.64$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.65 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…9103backed Yes | 3c | 586.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 42c | 580$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 47c | 556.4$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.51 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…c56ebacked No | 50c | 510$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 80c | 481.46$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 175 | 68.6%120 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 54c | 478.05$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…2fa1backed Yes | 47c | 475.21$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 46c | 466.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 46c | 465$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 60c | 461.31$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.73 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 42c | 379.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 20c | 377.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 371.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 48c | 368.75$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 33c | 320$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 54c | 292.13$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 54c | 283.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 272.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Yes | 45c | 258.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…33d0backed Yes | 30c | 249.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed No | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed No | 71c | 239.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…1e44backed Yes | 45c | 233.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 42c | 224$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 52c | 214.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9886…ededbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed No | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 48c | 186$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed No | 55c | 179.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 46c | 170.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 53c | 157.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4288backed No | 55c | 157.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.76 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 54c | 155$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28f8backed Yes | 46c | 151.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed No | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 45c | 146.88$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Yes | 33c | 145.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed No | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 42c | 135.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Yes | 45c | 128.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 55c | 124.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 111.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a31…dc23backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcade…1ff6backed Yes | 42c | 108.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…ce67backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…6d63backed Yes | 30c | 100.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 50c | 100.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 51c | 98.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Armenia vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.