TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Armenia vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No40c13,992$5,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,588.681,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c6,045$2,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,809.343,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No57c5,755$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.472,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes68c5,638$3,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.531,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes69c5,474$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.4435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59011561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.737846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes45c1,537$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.3341451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes27c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.971,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.95749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c1,158$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.838447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes64c1,010$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.621166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No73c900$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6575957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c837.06$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No56c810.06$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.214,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No21c762.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.228445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6f…be6fbacked Yes29c735$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.11728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes29c710$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.14847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No73c580$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.428256.7%160 W · 122 L-0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc768…d748backed Yes34c548.55$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.156640.9%27 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Yes57c526.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.533342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x484c…ccb6backed Yes34c505$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.718456%47 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No42c469.6$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.8416833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No26c457.53$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2917513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No43c452.14$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.451429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes34c406.6$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3561750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes76c392.6$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.656151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c21…3bc2backed Yes73c358$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked No62c342.85$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3216937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No19c315.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3730117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes32c310.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2651429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No73c307$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1165651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No28c306.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.292,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed No67c301.69$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1318943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes29c276.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.531,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8073…c119backed No45c262.65$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.062536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f9…3dcabacked Yes38c254.72$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.22850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes34c224.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1336634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes29c205.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7925031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes44c204.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.555234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No30c193.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5824533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c182$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.993,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes50c181.8$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes28c177$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.443,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c174.38$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3384844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d66…d311backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes55c156.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6445039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39be…3e81backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x297e…612fbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes72c154.17$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.179064.4%58 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e1e…2a7dbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No49c135.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1319026.3%50 W · 140 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c128.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f3…7596backed No68c101.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.767047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes38c93.17$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1740145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No67c79.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3230751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes38c73.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6828240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.43,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No18c71.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7945947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6723633.9%80 W · 156 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c66.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.191,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes35c60$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3916737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf3f…62eebacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.823759.5%22 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes69c56.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5934144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes27c56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.881,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes30c54.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6515747.8%75 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed No39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.531156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44c…48a4backed No51c46.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes69c44.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8965253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Yes49c43.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.413363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Yes29c42.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3113032.3%42 W · 88 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5b…5253backed Yes29c41.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.381136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked No71c41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1115059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a60…2889backed Yes29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.49625%24 W · 72 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1952…dbf9backed No50c39.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4731147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf604…4976backed Yes47c39.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.92560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+92.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Yes29c38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9826631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed No50c34.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1911450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes63c34.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5290840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes69c33.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.632055.9%179 W · 141 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes60c31.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7718764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Yes53c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.124257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes69c28.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9242755.5%237 W · 190 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes53c28.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0811552.2%60 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ce…41acbacked Yes45c22.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.53265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No71c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1928…1171backed Yes78c21.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb649…e8b2backed Yes55c21.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.693647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4df…e6cfbacked No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.611764.1%75 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No73c18.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a90…946abacked Yes74c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.273063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c15.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.173,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288c…cc4cbacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked No70c15.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8614653.4%78 W · 68 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No72c15.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.