Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d70435a8d9caac7cc361a7f9e58204e3b6971eb9e7dc5b27a51fb7930dd2988

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $506,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $265,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,673 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	55,555$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	6c	26,066$1,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,687.73	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	2c	18,112$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.13	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	3c	17,715$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.37	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	7,380$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.87	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	1c	7,155$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.34	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	1c	7,026$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.35	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	6,666$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	6,251$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.14	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0262…d7b6backed Yes	6c	6,205$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.18	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes	2c	5,313$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.18	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	3c	5,097$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.11	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	5,000$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.56	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb98d…5a68backed Yes	2c	4,632$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	1c	4,500$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	4,420$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.63	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	4c	4,125$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.39	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	5c	3,656$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.05	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	4c	3,383$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.84	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	7c	3,368$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	6c	3,264$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.02	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	79c	3,214$2,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.11	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	3c	3,163$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.42	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	5c	3,151$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.41	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	1c	3,094$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	2c	2,990$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.41	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	3c	2,966$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.99	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee9…2673backed Yes	1c	2,922$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	2c	2,832$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	2,813$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.13	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	18c	2,775$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.05	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	2,584$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.37	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	2,566$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.88	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	4c	2,500$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.32	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb411…8a7cbacked Yes	1c	2,326$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	2,190$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.15	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	2,176$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.79	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	2c	2,121$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.85	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	15c	2,109$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.79	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	3c	2,100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.22	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	2,047$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.83	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe661…e2eebacked Yes	16c	1,942$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.94	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	3c	1,923$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.46	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	1c	1,763$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.87	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd60f…ba25backed Yes	26c	1,746$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	1,579$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.08	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	1,561$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.19	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	18c	1,555$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.39	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x548a…e37abacked Yes	3c	1,523$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked No	77c	1,500$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.57	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	2c	1,493$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.96	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,457$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	4c	1,418$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.78	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes	2c	1,398$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	282	11%31 W · 251 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a2c…b7f7backed Yes	25c	1,302$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.01	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	10c	1,250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	3c	1,212$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,205$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.65	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	2c	1,200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes	4c	1,182$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	26c	1,172$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.62	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca20…ae4ebacked Yes	26c	1,139$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.31	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	2c	1,129$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes	1c	1,120$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8cc…b0c2backed Yes	3c	1,116$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	3c	1,105$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.36	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	1,100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.1	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8e…5610backed Yes	3c	1,063$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	17c	1,050$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.5	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x539e…3ccebacked Yes	2c	1,015$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	125	14.4%18 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec1a…7d2ebacked Yes	2c	1,013$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.36	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	36	5.6%2 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	988.8$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.99	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6599…efebbacked Yes	26c	953.34$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.59	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	1c	941.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.19	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe62c…37c5backed Yes	25c	939.13$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.11	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce2…d913backed Yes	22c	934.02$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.28	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	869.56$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.26	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed No	80c	794.05$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.54	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	2c	757.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	3c	736.94$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	12c	703.2$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.29	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	701.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a0…77a9backed Yes	15c	648.54$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.28	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba75…837fbacked Yes	5c	647.5$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.14	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Yes	25c	613.46$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.5	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	80c	563$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.87	32	84.4%27 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	80cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	555.67$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.13	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	8c	542.53$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.79	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	540$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	5c	524.11$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.92	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f2…418bbacked Yes	3c	508.66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Yes	3c	507.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.21	199	33.2%66 W · 133 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	5c	504.9$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.54	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	27c	500$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf88…0343backed Yes	23c	486.94$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.05	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…1537backed Yes	3c	476.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	159	18.9%30 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…b2b8backed Yes	2c	449.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.81	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	27c	446.1$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.45	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event