Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x632b7d45843e13ef17cbb981f7e1b7aa413357b285cd33ca5a5032ff03694c2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 11,209$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 6c | 9,976$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fc…0adebacked Yes | 2c | 9,464$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…78a4backed Yes | 6c | 8,106$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,734$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…b4f4backed Yes | 11c | 6,565$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 16c | 5,500$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.3 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…21a0backed Yes | 2c | 5,299$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Yes | 1c | 5,252$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 20c | 5,023$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 4,892$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 2c | 4,100$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 15c | 4,085$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 21c | 3,979$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.19 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 23c | 3,953$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.81 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…a131backed Yes | 18c | 3,900$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…8d9ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,491$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…9f3abacked Yes | 1c | 3,350$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…d768backed Yes | 2c | 3,250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…225ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,930$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,659$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…637bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,494$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…3949backed Yes | 4c | 2,267$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…8e33backed Yes | 17c | 2,125$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +126%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes | 3c | 2,098$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +1,064.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 2c | 2,088$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…cbf4backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 5c | 1,962$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 3c | 1,959$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…655cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,733$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…e853backed Yes | 2c | 1,612$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,484$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 4c | 1,475$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…c663backed Yes | 4c | 1,429$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…b3bfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 2c | 1,355$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf648…8d02backed Yes | 2c | 1,143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 6c | 1,132$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,096$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b16…a327backed Yes | 6c | 1,070$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes | 3c | 1,009$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…a7a6backed Yes | 3c | 999.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed Yes | 16c | 993.52$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 977.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 6c | 923.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 76c | 893.26$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.26 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…c4a9backed Yes | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 2c | 800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 76c | 787.15$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2df1…c10cbacked Yes | 3c | 725.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…6922backed Yes | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…d5b2backed Yes | 19c | 696.71$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 7c | 659.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…9f4abacked Yes | 4c | 644.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -12.2wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…cea7backed Yes | 2c | 556.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601f…76adbacked Yes | 2c | 547.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…7345backed Yes | 19c | 501.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 8c | 493.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…00b1backed Yes | 15c | 491.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6348…6871backed Yes | 10c | 490.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 22c | 470$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 5c | 399.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 9c | 350.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 5c | 302.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked Yes | 5c | 294.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…0073backed Yes | 11c | 267.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 7c | 259.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…dd28backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19e…130cbacked Yes | 9c | 190.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 21c | 155.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Yes | 27c | 150.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…c472backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…829fbacked Yes | 18c | 137$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 17c | 119.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 27c | 116.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…d678backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 31c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…6b47backed Yes | 20c | 100.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 19c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed No | 74c | 99.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 16c | 92.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 12c | 91.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dde…2217backed Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…29f8backed No | 72c | 81.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…b648backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 77c | 78.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…2ee6backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 74c | 33.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf56…50e7backed No | 79c | 12.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $50 in June?this page
- Will Solana dip to $10 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in June?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $100 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $90 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.