Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $70 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x307ef3960a2ace191fc58e59c381987e8562636c0c5880e866b836c84778ab11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 39c | 8,236$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.5 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 27c | 7,588$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.93 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…b127backed Yes | 64c | 6,334$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…9732backed Yes | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 69c | 2,500$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.05 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 1,866$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.48 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 64c | 1,336$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.66 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,314$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.04 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed No | 28c | 1,285$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.98 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0897…b4f4backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…0343backed Yes | 30c | 1,211$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 35c | 1,200$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 33c | 970.31$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.29 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 867.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…37b7backed Yes | 67c | 600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 62c | 464.83$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.21 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked No | 35c | 305.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…dd28backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…7b51backed No | 7c | 296.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…e808backed No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…637bbacked Yes | 59c | 279.83$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed Yes | 48c | 266.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 24c | 225.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…1c48backed No | 11c | 213.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 29c | 210$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…d678backed Yes | 69c | 161.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Yes | 64c | 158$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…e321backed No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 42c | 111.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 47c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6f…6ac1backed Yes | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…3f06backed Yes | 69c | 104.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9a…cf74backed Yes | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 70c | 71.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…bbb3backed Yes | 69c | 61.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…1f8cbacked Yes | 72c | 53.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e4…5aeabacked No | 59c | 50.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…9b56backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7510…6cb0backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 52c | 49.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 48c | 45.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…e853backed Yes | 34c | 41.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…d2cabacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…9e17backed No | 34c | 33.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…28efbacked Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked Yes | 68c | 26.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…a9adbacked Yes | 41c | 25.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…d231backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3de9backed No | 64c | 17.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $70 in June?this page
- Will Solana dip to $10 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $90 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.