Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $100 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f41b32697c168a854bc73cf2aaae6f9a4d575eb97c6d171b3e4ad5f111a3458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 12,077$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,392$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…a9ffbacked Yes | 1c | 9,114$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 7c | 5,851$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.79 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…25e3backed Yes | 5c | 4,445$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…ab1ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,329$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes | 1c | 4,320$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 2c | 3,811$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…908fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b54…b9acbacked Yes | 1c | 3,083$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,836$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…9627backed Yes | 2c | 2,678$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 2,580$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…4148backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 0c | 2,399$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…4389backed Yes | 4c | 2,373$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…ae73backed Yes | 1c | 1,884$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,660$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Yes | 1c | 1,640$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 2c | 1,581$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 3c | 1,390$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…cea7backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 3c | 1,192$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…61e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,075$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 987.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 7c | 699.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…00b1backed Yes | 3c | 668.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 2c | 636.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…5723backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4fddbacked Yes | 3c | 544.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1771…6796backed Yes | 6c | 452.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…c40dbacked Yes | 8c | 389.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…0265backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed Yes | 7c | 284.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…89f5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $100 in June?this page
- Will Solana dip to $10 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in June?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $110 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $90 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.