Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on June 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c477b0895f86d9d575dc6ce4f35d4ffc742c5d490e52fcda07fdac9c2ab3c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4885…2236backed Yes | 1c | 1,060$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 21c | 304.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed No | 37c | 259.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 5c | 214.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 24c | 210.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 28c | 205.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…bf61backed No | 69c | 192.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 65c | 169.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 58c | 167.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 21c | 153.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 52c | 152.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 164 | 32.9%54 W · 110 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 42c | 143.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…ec2cbacked Yes | 57c | 138.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…ff8fbacked No | 79c | 132.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 75c | 123.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 49c | 122.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 120.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 117.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…94b8backed Yes | 14c | 100.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 97.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 25c | 96.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 71c | 94.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 71c | 88.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 36c | 83.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 41c | 81.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 65c | 78.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f99…5936backed Yes | 60c | 76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 59c | 70.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 19c | 69.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…17e5backed Yes | 74c | 67.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 33c | 61.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 25c | 60.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 28c | 60.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 35c | 56.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 59c | 54.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 53.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…c1b8backed Yes | 31c | 50.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…c3cbbacked Yes | 63c | 50.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 54c | 50.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…6922backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…01b0backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 69c | 49.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 48.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…3282backed No | 66c | 47.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 27c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 36c | 42.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 25c | 41.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…76bebacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…b04abacked Yes | 51c | 39.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 49c | 37.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 74c | 34.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…9f2abacked Yes | 45c | 33.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 74c | 32.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 46c | 32.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 63c | 31.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd521…1889backed No | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 62c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 63c | 25.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…1a7bbacked Yes | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed Yes | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 66c | 18.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…8352backed Yes | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed No | 69c | 17.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…f816backed No | 66c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…dadbbacked Yes | 72c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 71c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…6c36backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…f17cbacked Yes | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on June 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.