TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over12c12,481$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.161,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c5…dbcfbacked Over15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.972133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over7c9,069$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.554,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over11c7,911$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.2159230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over11c7,777$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.4732029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over11c6,364$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70014612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over11c5,964$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c4,420$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over10c2,949$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.572,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Over10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d1c…b28cbacked Over11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over12c1,565$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2234924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under79c1,511$1,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6110471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c1,204$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c1,177$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.442,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c1,156$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.332,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Over26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over18c1,025$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.131,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over13c980$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.633120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over11c961$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.711,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Over11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over17c882.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked Over10c807.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7310815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under80c689.88$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.286358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef58…ce9bbacked Over11c546$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.061145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Over11c510$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.610652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2255…cffdbacked Over10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-81.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over10c481.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.121,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over11c453$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.832,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over10c431.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1314323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over13c425$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2543826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over10c411$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.991,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked Under79c378.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.249372%67 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over11c356.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.352,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…7bfebacked Over8c345$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.925714%8 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over15c306.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.841,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over10c299.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8522634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over11c262.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.911,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2543819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over12c230$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.618911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Over11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Over11c227.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513633.1%45 W · 91 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Over20c210.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.987339.7%29 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6332…4576backed Over12c200.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.915048%72 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a7…b778backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203920.5%8 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209637.5%36 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79c…db6fbacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over16c199.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over11c199.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2226537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over11c175.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2822135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e44…f303backed Over12c175$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218419%16 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1486…cef3backed Over12c170.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over11c163.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188423.8%20 W · 64 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+16.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over16c155.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.815535.5%55 W · 100 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda67…0b91backed Over12c154.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.712147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Over12c154.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4513751.1%70 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9632…a379backed Over12c154.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.456048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.528326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Under73c149.15$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.155240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over12c148.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2863255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over11c140.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb2…507abacked Over11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512637.3%47 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0369…c2ebbacked Under77c133.03$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd054…3bb9backed Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582040%8 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c52…cdf1backed Over11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128327.7%23 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7166…6922backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a52…c0e8backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104615.2%7 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1132928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…78b2backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740.4%23 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcbf…2e5ebacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa640…3b9fbacked Under74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267432.4%24 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc972…c7b8backed Over12c99.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1213138.9%51 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over16c95.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187640.8%31 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208429.8%25 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under78c43.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.622,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee6…d412backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108343.4%36 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fb…e7f3backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.510533.3%35 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.