Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9db50c1c4ba9a46e3c7de6487f8c763762b8a551b0ef4bdfaddd502c05b0828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 8,774$6,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 3,846$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.45 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…2068backed Over | 24c | 2,068$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Under | 57c | 1,344$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.04 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +10.5wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 27c | 1,333$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.09 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Over | 24c | 1,047$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 26c | 999.73$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.93 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1c…b28cbacked Over | 26c | 976.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Over | 22c | 899.28$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 24c | 847.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.83 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Over | 23c | 839.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…e1c8backed Over | 23c | 839.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d0e1backed Under | 78c | 820.5$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 23c | 700$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 22c | 615.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 74c | 613.02$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Over | 34c | 587.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 76c | 469.73$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 43c | 450$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb136…c3cabacked Over | 27c | 444.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Over | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 76c | 418.68$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 23c | 371.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 352$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 74c | 342$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 74c | 342$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 73c | 338.03$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 76c | 305$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 33c | 303.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Under | 67c | 303.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 75c | 291.32$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e64ebacked Over | 24c | 247.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…d6eabacked Over | 19c | 225$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…92e9backed Over | 23c | 225$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 28c | 222$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 23c | 206.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 76c | 175$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…95e4backed Over | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 74c | 160.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Over | 27c | 146.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…f8f0backed Over | 35c | 141.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 75c | 134.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b80…7a22backed Over | 24c | 125.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbeb…f499backed Over | 24c | 123.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 74c | 120.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Over | 21c | 112.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe254…00bebacked Under | 79c | 107.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…e8babacked Over | 23c | 103.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 24c | 89.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Over | 23c | 87.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Over | 23c | 85.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 200 | 56%112 W · 88 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 24c | 84.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…eb0ebacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Over | 25c | 80.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…a749backed Over | 24c | 76.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 77c | 75.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…f2c6backed Over | 28c | 70.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 18c | 66.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 23c | 60.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e0…8f89backed Over | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 73c | 50.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…4094backed Over | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 76c | 29.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Under | 72c | 22.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 80c | 20.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3948…8700backed Under | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5this page
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.