TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,257 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c1,091$758 inLost-$758.264,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Over29c275.86$80 inWon+$195.8618027.2%49 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf277…cb2dbacked Over30c266.67$80 inWon+$186.674327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under72c180$130 inLost-$129.632855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c134$38 inWon+$96.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1354…19f7backed Over33c101.76$34 inWon+$68.184223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over30c83.33$25 inWon+$58.3312028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228d…a448backed Over30c83.33$25 inWon+$58.333511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Over30c66.67$20 inWon+$46.678429.8%25 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over32c59.44$19 inWon+$40.423948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under71c48.61$35 inLost-$34.5176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Over33c42.42$14 inWon+$28.424240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f1c…94d3backed Over29c37.93$11 inWon+$26.933740.5%15 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under70c31.44$22 inLost-$22.073,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Under72c17$12 inLost-$12.245680.4%45 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.