TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,257 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21ff…0d71backed Over5c10,494$500 inLost-$500.341,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under56c3,105$1,724 inWon+$1,381.083956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over46c3,039$1,386 inLost-$1,386.371,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over5c2,000$92 inLost-$9289443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6926…0daabacked Over5c1,986$98 inLost-$97.9350%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over2c1,327$24 inLost-$24.121,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under58c1,075$622 inWon+$452.8718642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over15c1,023$150 inLost-$15014612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b28…0ed2backed Over5c970.62$50 inLost-$504126.8%11 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over5c879.63$41 inLost-$41.341,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc92…7e4abacked Over6c821.76$48 inLost-$48.443721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3b…5bb8backed Over6c810.89$49 inLost-$48.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5a…d76fbacked Over5c571.43$28 inLost-$28922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over17c499.98$83 inLost-$83.540515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over41c450$184 inLost-$184.219838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over43c450$194 inLost-$193.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over43c450$194 inLost-$193.519039.5%75 W · 115 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x465a…c619backed Under70c361.52$253 inWon+$108.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4516…cc3abacked Over16c320.54$50 inLost-$502020%4 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over33c303.01$100 inLost-$99.9917218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over8c272.03$22 inLost-$22.182,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over6c223.5$14 inLost-$14.0849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over6c215.29$12 inLost-$1243819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over5c200$10 inLost-$10.218911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa021…d5c9backed Under73c35.4$26 inWon+$9.561526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.