Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d6ee4d3368fec54c8dd0d39397f9209c5e89d79046faec78ff3112eb4352d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 37c | 1,071$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.83 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 639.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.31 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 21c | 632.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 70c | 630.22$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 46c | 617.3$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.35 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 24c | 592.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 60c | 583.89$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 52c | 537.67$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.97 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed Yes | 74c | 532.37$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 28c | 514.29$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.16 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 29c | 474.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.39 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 38c | 465$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.31 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 418.72$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.69 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 14c | 404.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.14 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 8c | 393.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 377.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.19 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 346.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…7752backed Yes | 69c | 337.4$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 49c | 298.45$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f9…1ee3backed Yes | 18c | 278.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.44 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 11c | 257.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 45c | 246.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 8c | 221.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 65c | 210.69$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 57c | 196.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 55c | 194.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 63c | 190.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 187$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 185.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 12c | 185$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 63c | 173.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 165.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 160.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 23c | 152.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 32c | 146.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 19c | 140.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 17c | 140.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked Yes | 24c | 140$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 64c | 139.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…5926backed Yes | 35c | 135.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 44c | 132.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed No | 51c | 130$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…6922backed No | 31c | 113.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…9c58backed No | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 14c | 103.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 25c | 103.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked No | 75c | 100.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 56c | 100.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…9464backed No | 69c | 97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 72c | 96.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 77c | 95.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 64c | 95.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 70c | 93.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…8b26backed Yes | 11c | 91.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 41c | 89.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…2427backed Yes | 32c | 86.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 51c | 84.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 24c | 83.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 47c | 82.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…acacbacked Yes | 16c | 81.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…8d52backed Yes | 23c | 81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…15dcbacked Yes | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 70c | 79.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 65c | 76.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 27c | 76.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…dfcabacked Yes | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 239 | 51%122 W · 117 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 17c | 70.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 25c | 69.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 52c | 69.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…48d9backed No | 74c | 67.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 68c | 67.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 69c | 66.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 62c | 64.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 41c | 63.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 67c | 60.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8daa…9e36backed Yes | 28c | 56.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…c839backed Yes | 51c | 56.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 61c | 55.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 54c | 55.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 75c | 53.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 27c | 51.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 79c | 50.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed Yes | 62c | 50.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…c03bbacked No | 71c | 46.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 46.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 28c | 45.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…d445backed Yes | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 50c | 43.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…4134backed Yes | 73c | 42.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 84 | 66.7%56 W · 28 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…b4dabacked No | 78c | 41.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.