Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeecb78b4aca03fc4d11e04607733e4a5c024f3fd70a14c01435c82e0f0e4791b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 1,071$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.92 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 78c | 889.68$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 6c | 762.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 47c | 653.8$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.63 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b82…b217backed Yes | 48c | 602.12$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 52c | 577.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.27 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 10c | 548.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 36c | 502.97$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 439$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 80c | 360.24$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 15c | 336.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 333$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 41c | 328.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed No | 69c | 313.55$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked No | 68c | 313.55$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.39 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e5…5e3fbacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 13c | 299.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 20c | 294.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4016…4623backed Yes | 40c | 279.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 8c | 267.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…e2b1backed Yes | 40c | 246$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 10c | 239.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 67c | 223.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 52c | 211.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 207.32$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…d3b9backed Yes | 10c | 205.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 28c | 200.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 76c | 198.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 49c | 189.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 33c | 186.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 48c | 182.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 73c | 174.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…0575backed No | 51c | 172.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 165.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 163.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 20c | 162.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed No | 64c | 158.75$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 153.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 42c | 152.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 40c | 145.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 142.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 142$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 58c | 136.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 133$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…aa8ebacked Yes | 11c | 127.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa238…5f92backed Yes | 36c | 112.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 49c | 111.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…a5b7backed Yes | 33c | 109.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 106.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 12c | 101.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 95.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 52c | 90.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 67c | 88.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 39c | 88.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 86.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 28c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 58c | 84.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 84.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 76c | 83.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 49c | 80.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 79.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed No | 62c | 75.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 44c | 75.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 49c | 74.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 41c | 72.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…900fbacked Yes | 36c | 71.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 69.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…ad74backed Yes | 24c | 63.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 61.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 48c | 60.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 45c | 60.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…ce76backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed Yes | 39c | 58.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 53c | 57.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 23c | 57.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 32c | 56.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 31c | 55.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…c595backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…f36fbacked Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 61c | 52.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 62c | 51.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 63c | 51.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.