Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc40eed2064814083ae686858fe1e3ffa856e555675469c1015a7c25475277e92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 7c | 1,385$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 21c | 973.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 14c | 596.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 63c | 567.97$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 24c | 519.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 513.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 26c | 497.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 18c | 364.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 247 | 10.5%26 W · 221 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 23c | 341.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 38c | 261.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 63c | 252.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 245.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 19c | 236.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…20c1backed Yes | 15c | 229.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 5c | 210.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 20c | 208.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 5c | 201.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…d341backed No | 75c | 194.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 28c | 189.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 24c | 186.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 9c | 161$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 153.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…aa8ebacked Yes | 27c | 149.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…6732backed Yes | 20c | 144.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 141.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.54 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…d3e9backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…a783backed Yes | 8c | 139.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…d3b9backed Yes | 29c | 136.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…e555backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 25c | 116.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 116.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…0cf2backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 30c | 99.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 170 | 25.3%43 W · 127 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 40c | 97.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 26c | 95.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…3033backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 86.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…8d52backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 79.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…900fbacked Yes | 37c | 74.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 75c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 70.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 61c | 68.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 68.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 16c | 67.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 24c | 64.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…5314backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 74c | 64.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 70c | 61.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 66c | 60.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 38c | 57.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 38c | 57.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 41c | 56.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 24c | 51.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…9899backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…a069backed Yes | 24c | 48.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 75c | 47.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 67c | 44.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…468bbacked No | 67c | 44.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 162 | 63%102 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…4c96backed No | 80c | 41.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 36c | 41.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 64c | 40.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 68c | 32.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 37c | 32.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 67c | 31.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 67c | 29.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 70c | 25.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…63e1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe205…7b9abacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe801…764fbacked No | 78c | 24.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…0200backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa269…2f5bbacked No | 72c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.