World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f33e7f917431586fb9a5deb299769b93f95e503b281857f7d3c8cf9e12e20e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e5e…dbfdbacked Yes | 0c | 17,908$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 1c | 3,982$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 2c | 1,021$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 11c | 934.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 74c | 602.11$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 64c | 561.22$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.71 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 33c | 447.56$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 31c | 304$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 23c | 300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 299.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 77c | 292.58$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 75c | 262.14$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 254.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.55 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…a01dbacked Yes | 40c | 249.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 9c | 230$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 218.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 212$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 15c | 182$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 22c | 175.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 46c | 164.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca19…b0cabacked No | 80c | 162.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 75c | 158.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 147.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 9c | 138$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 34c | 135.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 24c | 133.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 72c | 129.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…6c46backed Yes | 37c | 129$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 78c | 128.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 80c | 111.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 71c | 110.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 21c | 109.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 33c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 33c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…d3e9backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf352…a070backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 74c | 95.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 24c | 92.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 29c | 92.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 67c | 89.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 85.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed No | 77c | 79.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 18c | 75.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 75.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 37c | 73.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 20c | 71.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…11e0backed No | 76c | 71.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 16c | 68.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 66c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 18c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…31d4backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bb…b01fbacked Yes | 19c | 61.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 59.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 28c | 56.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 23c | 55.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked Yes | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 25c | 51.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…1402backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…2ed5backed No | 63c | 49.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 25c | 49.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 63c | 47.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 78c | 46.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 34c | 44.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 28c | 43.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 47c | 35.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 44c | 33.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 44c | 31.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…cf5cbacked No | 77c | 30.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 76c | 29.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 62c | 28.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 62c | 27.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 45c | 26.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe801…764fbacked No | 71c | 26.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 60c | 25.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…a35dbacked Yes | 56c | 24.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed No | 65c | 24.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…da59backed No | 63c | 23.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 70c | 23.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 78c | 23.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 45c | 22.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 71c | 22.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.