Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1613544e91a8bc6f7df32b9a6b2b6588f597d03c3ba7a07607c4768f8c8428a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,783$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 1,278$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.22 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 2c | 677.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 9c | 645.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 37c | 583.36$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 5c | 578.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 2c | 542.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 528$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.61 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 13c | 507.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 11c | 450$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 73c | 384.76$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 36c | 338.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 8c | 331.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 80c | 322.44$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 313.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 17c | 306.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 5c | 270$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 70c | 269.46$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 258.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 253.83$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 65c | 238$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 17c | 205.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 37c | 201.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 12c | 196.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 195.84$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 15c | 192.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 68c | 183.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…8163backed Yes | 37c | 170.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…b04abacked Yes | 45c | 165.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…9300backed Yes | 36c | 165.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 165$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 71c | 156.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 135.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 134.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 58c | 134.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 35c | 129.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 26c | 124.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 40c | 122.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 10c | 122.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 116.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 35c | 113.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 18c | 112.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 41c | 110.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 26c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…149bbacked No | 68c | 108.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 35c | 104.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…3033backed Yes | 37c | 102.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…4cdebacked No | 68c | 101.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 66c | 100.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 100.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 32c | 100.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…706bbacked Yes | 16c | 97.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 31c | 94.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 64c | 93.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 34c | 91.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 33c | 90.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed No | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 29c | 83.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 41c | 82.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…95a7backed Yes | 15c | 81.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 19c | 80.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…4e1bbacked Yes | 37c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 22c | 78.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 35c | 78.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 60c | 77.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 35c | 72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 68.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 67.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 71c | 67.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 30c | 65.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 33c | 64.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 64.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 64c | 61.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 48c | 61.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed Yes | 34c | 59.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 71c | 58.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 32c | 57.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed No | 75c | 57.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 68c | 54.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 54.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 35c | 53.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 52.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 39c | 51.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 27c | 50.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 40c | 50.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…0ac4backed Yes | 32c | 50.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 78c | 50.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.