Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f580144d228c12d674fc09ab4eeff09b14d79084827ce12426ee52607a9b06f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 2c | 4,694$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 19c | 2,087$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.41 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 6c | 1,303$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 18c | 1,192$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.26 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,152$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.12 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 5c | 1,055$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 616.07$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 5c | 499.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 2c | 463.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 73c | 436.41$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.26 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 17c | 433.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 26c | 428.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 412$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 17c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 27c | 355.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 331.27$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.67 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 78c | 323.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 299.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 24c | 284.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed No | 72c | 277.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 268.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 28c | 266.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 11c | 261.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 72c | 238$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 234.84$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 229.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…9300backed Yes | 27c | 226.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 17c | 223.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 22c | 208.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 28c | 203.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 200.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 193.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 29c | 191.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 11c | 188.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 184.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa16…1430backed Yes | 29c | 173.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 14c | 171.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 19c | 165.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 164.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 33c | 161$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 159.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…a713backed Yes | 25c | 150.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 17c | 147.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 21c | 140.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 69c | 129$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 77c | 128.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 27c | 125.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 22c | 120.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 25c | 120.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 27c | 118.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 75c | 116.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 27c | 111.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…f577backed No | 78c | 111.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 72c | 111.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 77c | 111.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 25c | 110.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…5263backed No | 76c | 105.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 21c | 100.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…4436backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…149bbacked No | 74c | 97.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 27c | 96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 73c | 88.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 25c | 84.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…4e1bbacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 28c | 79.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 26c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 77c | 74.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc002…6f57backed Yes | 39c | 71.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 31c | 70.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 23c | 67.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 67.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 38c | 66.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 22c | 66.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 21c | 65.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…1d86backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 20c | 61.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…71fcbacked Yes | 27c | 60.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 59.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…f56abacked Yes | 28c | 53.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…27f6backed No | 78c | 52.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 35c | 52.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bea…bab9backed No | 71c | 51.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…7b28backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dec…26c4backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.