AI · resolved market
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b5aac4c4eee1ec9653d26e61c8f714be096e6ab59d099c4440fe76eb7ebe08b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 67c | 2,026$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.52 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 1c | 1,090$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,024$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.64 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 19c | 593.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 43c | 383.48$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 13c | 320.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 295$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 274.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 68c | 270.69$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 228.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 28c | 205.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 16c | 181.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 19c | 179.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 41c | 175.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 38c | 145$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 13c | 140.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 41c | 135$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 44c | 132.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…deaabacked Yes | 25c | 128.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 52c | 127.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed Yes | 17c | 121$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…4246backed Yes | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 13c | 114$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 51c | 106.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 12c | 101.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 46c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…8257backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…b24abacked No | 65c | 65.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe86f…4bf3backed No | 63c | 64.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 45c | 64.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…4354backed No | 63c | 64.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…3387backed No | 63c | 63.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…7961backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…c7f8backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 73c | 62.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb453…ec95backed No | 65c | 61.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b1…6593backed No | 65c | 61.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d1ccbacked No | 65c | 61.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…838abacked No | 65c | 61.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 44c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 36c | 55.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…9e97backed Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9070…e32cbacked Yes | 34c | 53.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 27c | 50.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 75c | 49.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…7c3bbacked Yes | 41c | 44.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 144 | 23.6%34 W · 110 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 46c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 39.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2a2cbacked No | 41c | 35.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked No | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f0…0451backed Yes | 75c | 33.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 42c | 30.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 61c | 23.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 61c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?this page
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.