Music · resolved market
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x375ce62d8fb8685b47df7f5fcb814b1c5433adf42eef36dd31798b0a0cd06bf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 31c | 3,026$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 16c | 1,858$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.83 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 65c | 1,236$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.83 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 1,208$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.07 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 31c | 1,178$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.04 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9480…a200backed Yes | 11c | 1,164$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 66c | 830$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…91dfbacked Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 72c | 487.66$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 437.14$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed No | 79c | 435.64$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 69c | 429.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd9…b83cbacked Yes | 11c | 428.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 17c | 415.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 18c | 352.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 34c | 318$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 317.31$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 294$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 24c | 276$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 10c | 265$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 7c | 262.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 43c | 256.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 37c | 249.45$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed Yes | 30c | 225.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 37c | 202.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed No | 71c | 201$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…2da1backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…003ebacked Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 47c | 172$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 35c | 154.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed Yes | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 80c | 132$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…c627backed Yes | 16c | 130.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed Yes | 47c | 128.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…4e3bbacked Yes | 31c | 127.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0d…835bbacked No | 78c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…1c09backed Yes | 38c | 121.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 65c | 119.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 78c | 105.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked No | 77c | 104.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…2e87backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…f23cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…1a00backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked Yes | 11c | 93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…0f06backed Yes | 18c | 82.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 36c | 75.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 16c | 74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 58c | 71.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes | 47c | 68.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 77c | 64.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes | 42c | 57.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…268bbacked Yes | 44c | 56.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 72c | 53.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 32c | 51.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…871fbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…b1cabacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…4568backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a56…563cbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…314cbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…6ce0backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 31c | 46.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Yes | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee2…e71fbacked Yes | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec8…65e3backed Yes | 50c | 38.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…bff4backed No | 62c | 35.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 60c | 32.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked No | 55c | 30.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +252%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb682…7db4backed No | 70c | 21.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 71c | 15.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?this page
- Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?Yes won
- Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 140k and 160k?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.