NBA · resolved market
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58e514036d7a8ffcbde14a5c189d4282f837585656885d4856cec0a41349fe27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $644,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed No | 1c | 16,164$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked No | 8c | 13,888$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 33c | 13,649$4,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,482.53 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 6c | 12,538$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.53 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ca…1e53backed No | 0c | 12,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 5c | 10,131$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.19 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 18c | 9,312$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed No | 10c | 8,630$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 7,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1backed No | 2c | 7,000$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 6,797$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.48 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 7c | 6,787$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked No | 8c | 6,623$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d4…4fbebacked No | 3c | 5,968$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 5,830$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 22c | 5,792$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.05 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 5c | 5,384$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…45fbbacked No | 6c | 5,357$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…aa36backed No | 9c | 5,302$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…c697backed No | 26c | 5,173$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 7c | 4,809$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.26 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc39…8ad8backed No | 7c | 4,643$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…c5f0backed No | 6c | 4,286$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 63c | 3,969$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 12c | 3,876$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 7c | 3,844$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Yes | 78c | 3,724$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.33 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 3c | 3,632$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +137%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…63e0backed No | 4c | 3,537$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 72c | 3,376$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 18c | 3,309$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.54 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 75c | 3,238$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 79c | 3,183$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.18 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…2934backed No | 5c | 3,124$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…8a31backed No | 2c | 3,106$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…1a9ebacked No | 8c | 3,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 4c | 3,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 39c | 3,000$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Yes | 68c | 2,814$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.05 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093e…79d8backed No | 11c | 2,701$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…3bf0backed No | 7c | 2,585$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,420$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.66 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 2,412$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…274cbacked Yes | 72c | 2,386$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 10c | 2,222$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 2,202$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 2c | 2,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed No | 18c | 2,096$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.86 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 2,080$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf1…e06bbacked No | 8c | 2,040$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 5c | 2,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 11c | 2,000$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…d63ebacked No | 11c | 1,926$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 5c | 1,824$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7417…0e5abacked Yes | 60c | 1,780$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…1079backed No | 13c | 1,677$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed No | 2c | 1,631$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 1c | 1,555$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 6c | 1,543$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8b…fb0abacked No | 7c | 1,531$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 59c | 1,490$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.94 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked No | 8c | 1,488$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 39c | 1,466$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…908bbacked No | 8c | 1,462$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,446$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a2…6992backed No | 7c | 1,435$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed No | 5c | 1,434$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…64acbacked No | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…9002backed No | 8c | 1,381$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c895backed Yes | 69c | 1,368$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 4c | 1,331$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…521ebacked No | 8c | 1,210$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked No | 18c | 1,200$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.77 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 73c | 1,172$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.69 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…e1b4backed No | 7c | 1,129$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 63c | 1,121$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked No | 11c | 1,100$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd9…14d6backed No | 3c | 1,091$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed No | 7c | 1,057$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef23backed No | 8c | 1,053$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,029$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.44 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…3dc6backed No | 10c | 1,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…beaabacked No | 10c | 1,010$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…cfb6backed No | 10c | 1,009$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 67c | 1,001$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +582.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 78c | 987.24$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.39 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…3bccbacked No | 8c | 957.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 19c | 950.6$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…a130backed No | 11c | 911.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 21c | 872.35$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 8c | 855.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe636…39bebacked No | 8c | 829.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 25c | 819$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed No | 8c | 799.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x043f…d9e1backed No | 40c | 794.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.