Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f916787432121b23c3fd09ad2b309a34888bf1c98f304f0d1cc40c95d052ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 37c | 13,725$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,682.6 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 30c | 12,487$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,767.36 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 62c | 10,954$6,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,794.3 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed Yes | 27c | 8,847$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 60c | 5,509$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.32 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 54c | 4,983$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.94 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 52c | 2,492$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 69c | 2,253$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.81 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 76c | 2,232$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.16 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 75c | 1,895$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.4 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 75c | 1,776$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.63 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 1,692$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.7 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 1,659$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.1 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 77c | 1,543$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed No | 61c | 1,491$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…7212backed Yes | 43c | 1,444$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 74c | 1,403$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.43 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 70c | 1,291$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 1,266$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.42 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 42c | 1,217$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,209$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.7 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed No | 55c | 1,177$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.93 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…2737backed Yes | 70c | 1,167$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 37c | 1,096$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 55c | 1,096$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.37 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 1,035$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.18 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 52c | 1,012$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…6f2bbacked No | 59c | 923.6$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…8cfdbacked Yes | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 72c | 858.56$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 41c | 797.06$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.09 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 60c | 796.1$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.32 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…93debacked Yes | 45c | 794.52$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…d3a5backed Yes | 51c | 784.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 41c | 750$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.04 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 76c | 717$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.01 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 34c | 673.79$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.96 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…84eabacked Yes | 45c | 666.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 39c | 665.66$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…1ae4backed Yes | 52c | 664.94$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 49c | 610.07$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 602.68$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.13 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 44c | 550.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.76 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 548.34$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.85 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…0db3backed Yes | 28c | 527$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +258.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d5…500bbacked Yes | 50c | 503.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 501$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.15 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a105backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked No | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 46c | 409$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 47c | 405$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 70c | 377.04$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 76c | 367.35$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 361.74$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 352.86$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 46c | 336.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 329$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.63 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 60c | 322$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 47c | 320.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked Yes | 49c | 306.78$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 69c | 300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…9240backed No | 72c | 300$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…d1aebacked No | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes | 40c | 272.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 73c | 266.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 52c | 264.94$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 72c | 263.03$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 53c | 254.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…bd9cbacked Yes | 40c | 243$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 53c | 236.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 70c | 227.7$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 54c | 222$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 55c | 210.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…6a31backed Yes | 48c | 209.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…72ecbacked Yes | 29c | 207.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +218%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 48c | 206.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…fffdbacked Yes | 51c | 201$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…0d61backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d01…6ca9backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…cf02backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 44c | 195.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1faf…f652backed Yes | 49c | 178.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…0237backed No | 49c | 175.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f6…fc9bbacked No | 76c | 166$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccd…6e3cbacked No | 77c | 161.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 160$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…3096backed No | 71c | 159.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7601…7873backed No | 71c | 154.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 78c | 152.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…3a16backed Yes | 21c | 149.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…1340backed No | 69c | 142.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?this page
- Will annual inflation be 3.3% or less in May?No won
- Will annual inflation be 3.4% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation be 3.5% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation be 3.6% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation be 3.7% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?No won
- Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.