Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73853d75e4f5de6144f64afa9752ad2f08ced1487544a2f67babcd1c022e7930
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d1b…7acfbacked No | 0c | 14,230$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed No | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 72c | 2,950$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.02 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 3c | 2,671$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.79 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.1 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 7c | 1,732$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.43 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 4c | 1,321$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 16c | 1,180$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.17 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 968.4$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.2 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 16c | 967.17$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…8ed1backed No | 78c | 891.16$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 884.52$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.12 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 30c | 793.61$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…0f8abacked No | 45c | 762$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 17c | 746.47$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked Yes | 2c | 726$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.12 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 80c | 611.36$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 10c | 589.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.34 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 36c | 575.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.75 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 23c | 556.12$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.91 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 64c | 532.26$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.56 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 7c | 496.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 14c | 487$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.16 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 3c | 463.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.6 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 14c | 460.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 38c | 433.52$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.74 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 10c | 426.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.09 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 53c | 420$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.82 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 27c | 392$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.04 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…98d0backed No | 3c | 384.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 56c | 377.7$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.35 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 18c | 358.72$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.34 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 78c | 348.47$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 23c | 343.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.3 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 78c | 329.18$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 3c | 328.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.14 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 25c | 327.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 32c | 319.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 318$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.24 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 75c | 304.45$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.92 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 58c | 297.52$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.78 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 20c | 294$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 21c | 275.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.64 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8947…4635backed Yes | 65c | 274.64$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeead…178dbacked Yes | 76c | 263.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 6c | 258.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.61 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 19c | 237.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.31 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 8c | 225.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.89 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed No | 50c | 221.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…bb3dbacked No | 69c | 216.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 19c | 207.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 27c | 206.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes | 8c | 190.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 48c | 178.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 26c | 175.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 29c | 174.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 164.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 63c | 164.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 19c | 159.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 74c | 156.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed No | 78c | 152.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 183 | 33.3%61 W · 122 L | -17.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x106c…7ec6backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 59c | 146.82$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 9c | 136.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 474 | 17.9%85 W · 389 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e2f4backed Yes | 54c | 134.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 70c | 133.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.23 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 67c | 129$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 51c | 119.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 15c | 115.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…9d8fbacked Yes | 35c | 113.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…556cbacked Yes | 44c | 113.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cb…4629backed Yes | 12c | 113.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 46c | 109.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…571abacked No | 42c | 107.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…e1c7backed Yes | 14c | 105$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Yes | 21c | 102.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 12c | 100.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…956bbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 41c | 93.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…780fbacked No | 49c | 90.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 45c | 90.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 35c | 86.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 24c | 85.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf580…824bbacked Yes | 61c | 82.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…42b8backed No | 61c | 81.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…af97backed Yes | 64c | 79.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…3d06backed No | 57c | 71.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 71.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…a336backed Yes | 62c | 71.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 25c | 69.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 44c | 67.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 46c | 57.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 53c | 57.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 52.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb9…ce0bbacked No | 68c | 52.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.